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STRL:NASDAQSterling Infrastructure, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time

$486.49

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is neutral at $486.49, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 26.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 40.9 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $444.52 as support and $606.12 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 35.1 times earnings above a sector average of 28.5. Analyst price targets sit 80.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 90.1% on a 12.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 94.7%, a beta of 3.38 and a maximum drawdown of 54.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.

Top Market Events

Sterling Infrastructure Inc STRL raises full-year guidance amid record backlog and robust e-infrastructure demand.During a segment on CNBC’s Mad Money on August 5, a caller sought host Jim Cramer’s guidance on Sterling...Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.’s STRL revenue and earnings are soaring as it helps physically build the AI data center...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 522.66
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of -26.4%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 35.1 versus sector average of 28.5
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 522.66
  • Analyst targets imply +80.1% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 35.1 versus sector average of 28.5
  • Analyst targets imply +80.1% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +90.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth90.10%
Profit Margin12.55%
P/E Ratio35.1
ROE40.01%
ROA14.55%
Debt/Equity24.22
P/B Ratio11.0
Op. Cash Flow$597.7M
Free Cash Flow$349.4M
Industry P/E28.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.9
Support$444.52
Resistance$606.12
MA 20$512.89
MA 50$599.64
MA 200$522.66
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Fair Value$398.30
Target Price$876.00
Upside/Downside80.07%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta3.38
Volatility94.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.