STRL:NASDAQSterling Infrastructure, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
$838.55
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) is trading firmly above its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, confirming a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD crossover. The stock benefits from explosive revenue growth driven by its e‑infrastructure segment, which is positioned to capture demand from AI‑powered data‑center expansions, as highlighted in recent earnings news. Fundamentally, the company posts strong profitability margins, an exceptional return on equity and ample cash relative to debt, but its price‑earnings multiple is far above the industry average, indicating a premium valuation.
Analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with a "strong buy" consensus and multiple growth‑oriented headlines. However, the equity exhibits extreme short‑term volatility, a high beta, and a sizable max drawdown, underscoring heightened risk that investors must weigh against the growth narrative.
Analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly positive, with a "strong buy" consensus and multiple growth‑oriented headlines. However, the equity exhibits extreme short‑term volatility, a high beta, and a sizable max drawdown, underscoring heightened risk that investors must weigh against the growth narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages supporting momentum
- Positive earnings surprise and strong analyst buy rating
- Increasing volume indicating growing investor interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained revenue growth from AI‑related infrastructure projects
- High valuation relative to peers may compress returns
- Elevated volatility and beta suggesting price swings
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust profitability and cash generation supporting balance‑sheet strength
- Strategic positioning in expanding e‑infrastructure markets
- Long‑term upside potential if earnings growth justifies premium valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth91.60%
Profit Margin12.02%
P/E Ratio75.1
ROE36.68%
ROA12.91%
Debt/Equity28.63
P/B Ratio23.2
Op. Cash Flow$520.7M
Free Cash Flow$346.9M
Industry P/E30.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.1
Support$702.51
Resistance$1,005.68
MA 20$831.09
MA 50$663.97
MA 200$435.01
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair Value$408.86
Target Price$938.17
Upside/Downside11.88%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.34
Volatility152.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.