We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

STKS:NASDAQThe ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-03 - not real-time

$1.85

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $1.85, well below its 20‑day SMA of $1.75 and the 50‑day SMA of $1.84, indicating a bearish price alignment despite a modestly bullish MACD histogram. RSI sits at 55, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while a beta of ~1.5 and a 30‑day volatility above 60% signal a highly responsive but erratic price action. Fundamentally, the company reports negative trailing EPS of -$4.05, a PE of zero, and a distressing debt‑to‑equity ratio above 580, reflecting severe balance‑sheet pressure.
The forward PE of 3.36 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.07 imply a potentially attractive valuation relative to its target median price of $5, translating to an upside of over 160%. However, the lack of dividend, negative free cash flow, and a max drawdown exceeding 67% underscore significant downside risk. Recent investor‑focused events, such as the upcoming Sidoti’s Small‑Cap Virtual Investor Conference, provide limited operational catalysts. Overall, the stock sits at a technical support near $1.65, faces a bearish trend, yet offers a large upside if a turnaround materializes.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish SMA crossover and price below 20‑day SMA
  • High beta and 30‑day volatility over 60%
  • Negative earnings and deteriorating cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE suggests valuation upside
  • Large upside potential versus current price
  • Continued balance‑sheet weakness and debt load

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Target median price indicates >150% upside
  • Potential operational turnaround via brand repositioning
  • Improving investor sentiment as reflected by extreme greed index

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.70%
Profit Margin-11.45%
P/E Ratio3.4
ROE-59.84%
ROA2.55%
Debt/Equity584.66
P/B Ratio-0.8
Op. Cash Flow$30.3M
Free Cash Flow$-18293750

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.1
Support$1.65
Resistance$2.03
MA 20$1.75
MA 50$1.84
MA 200$2.25
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.09

Valuation

Target Price$4.89
Upside/Downside164.41%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.56
Volatility64.49%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.