SRF:NSESRF FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time
₹2,617.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind SRF Limited is bearish at INR 2,617.00, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Momentum indicators put RSI at 50.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near INR 2,543.50 and resistance around INR 2,648.00.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 13.3%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 25.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as oversupplied.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 13.3%, a beta of -0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 25.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2725.62
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 2725.62
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Maximum drawdown of 25.0%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 13.3%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price2617
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.0
Support₹2,543.50
Resistance₹2,648.00
MA 20₹2,593.36
MA 50₹2,678.08
MA 200₹2,725.62
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.73
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.28
Volatility13.31%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.