SRF:NSESRF FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
₹2,621.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SRF Limited is trading at ₹2,621.1, just below its 20‑day SMA of ₹2,630.3 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ₹2,544.1, indicating a modest short‑term pullback within a broader uptrend. The price sits midway between a support level of ₹2,472.2 and resistance at ₹2,832.1, while the MACD histogram is negative (-9.66) and the signal line is higher, signaling bearish momentum despite a neutral overall trend. RSI hovers around 50, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
Volume has been on a decreasing trajectory, falling well below its 10‑day average of 444,111, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 30.8%, underscoring heightened price swings. A near‑zero beta (0.016) points to minimal correlation with broader market moves, and the Fear & Greed Index at 90.29 (Extreme Greed) reflects a market environment that may be overly optimistic on risk assets.
Given the mixed technical signals and elevated volatility, the stock presents a moderate risk profile. The short‑term outlook favors a hold stance, while medium‑ and long‑term perspectives tilt toward buy as the valuation metrics (forward PE ~28.9) and dividend yield (0.38%) become more attractive in a balanced supply‑demand regime.
Volume has been on a decreasing trajectory, falling well below its 10‑day average of 444,111, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 30.8%, underscoring heightened price swings. A near‑zero beta (0.016) points to minimal correlation with broader market moves, and the Fear & Greed Index at 90.29 (Extreme Greed) reflects a market environment that may be overly optimistic on risk assets.
Given the mixed technical signals and elevated volatility, the stock presents a moderate risk profile. The short‑term outlook favors a hold stance, while medium‑ and long‑term perspectives tilt toward buy as the valuation metrics (forward PE ~28.9) and dividend yield (0.38%) become more attractive in a balanced supply‑demand regime.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
- Price below 20‑day SMA
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near 20‑day SMA support
- Balanced supply‑demand outlook
- Attractive forward P/E ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low market beta indicating defensive profile
- Steady dividend yield
- Strong market capitalization and cash flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price2621.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support₹2,472.20
Resistance₹2,832.10
MA 20₹2,630.33
MA 50₹2,544.14
MA 200₹2,821.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.26
Volatility30.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.