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SRF:NSESRF FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

₹2,621.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SRF Limited is trading at ₹2,621.1, just below its 20‑day SMA of ₹2,630.3 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ₹2,544.1, indicating a modest short‑term pullback within a broader uptrend. The price sits midway between a support level of ₹2,472.2 and resistance at ₹2,832.1, while the MACD histogram is negative (-9.66) and the signal line is higher, signaling bearish momentum despite a neutral overall trend. RSI hovers around 50, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
Volume has been on a decreasing trajectory, falling well below its 10‑day average of 444,111, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 30.8%, underscoring heightened price swings. A near‑zero beta (0.016) points to minimal correlation with broader market moves, and the Fear & Greed Index at 90.29 (Extreme Greed) reflects a market environment that may be overly optimistic on risk assets.
Given the mixed technical signals and elevated volatility, the stock presents a moderate risk profile. The short‑term outlook favors a hold stance, while medium‑ and long‑term perspectives tilt toward buy as the valuation metrics (forward PE ~28.9) and dividend yield (0.38%) become more attractive in a balanced supply‑demand regime.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Price below 20‑day SMA

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 20‑day SMA support
  • Balanced supply‑demand outlook
  • Attractive forward P/E ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low market beta indicating defensive profile
  • Steady dividend yield
  • Strong market capitalization and cash flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price2621.1
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support₹2,472.20
Resistance₹2,832.10
MA 20₹2,630.33
MA 50₹2,544.14
MA 200₹2,821.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.26
Volatility30.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.