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SEM:NYSESelect Medical Holdings Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-30 - not real-time

$16.49

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Select Medical is trading near its short‑term support level with a bullish price trend but an overbought RSI and a bearish MACD histogram suggesting limited upside in the immediate term. Volume is increasing, which supports the current price stability, while the beta is well below market averages, indicating lower price volatility. The company’s valuation appears attractive: a price‑to‑earnings multiple significantly below the industry average and a price‑to‑book ratio close to one, pointing to potential undervaluation. However, revenue growth has stalled and margins remain thin, which tempers growth expectations. The dividend yield of roughly 1.5% is backed by a modest payout ratio, enhancing the appeal for income‑focused investors.
Longer‑term considerations center on the solid cash flow generation and the defensive nature of the healthcare‑facility sector, offset by a high debt‑to‑equity ratio that could constrain future flexibility. The company’s exposure is primarily domestic, limiting currency risk, and regulatory risk is moderate given the stable demand for post‑acute care services. Overall, the stock presents a value‑oriented opportunity with a sustainable dividend, but investors should be mindful of the flat top‑line and leverage profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price near immediate support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation relative to peers
  • Flat revenue growth and high leverage
  • Sustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and defensive healthcare sector positioning
  • Undervalued price metrics
  • Consistent dividend with low payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin2.68%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE10.64%
ROA3.67%
Debt/Equity140.92
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$346.5M
Free Cash Flow$31.8M
Industry P/E25.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI74.9
Support$16.29
Resistance$16.52
MA 20$16.40
MA 50$16.12
MA 200$14.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.32

Valuation

Target Price$16.63
Upside/Downside0.82%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility1.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.