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6645:TSEOMRON Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

NT$14.15

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Kim Forest Enterprise is trading at TWD 14.15, which sits below its 20‑day (16.56), 50‑day (17.40) and 200‑day (19.54) simple moving averages, signaling a sustained downtrend. The 14‑day RSI of 17.9 places the stock in deep oversold territory, hinting at a possible short‑term bounce. However, the MACD line remains negative (-0.89) and the histogram is still below zero, confirming bearish momentum. Daily volume has been rising, supporting the price move toward the identified support level of 13.95. The 30‑day volatility of over 30% and a max drawdown of 46% underscore the price’s instability.
On the fundamentals side, revenue reached TWD 549 million with an 11% year‑over‑year increase, yet operating margin is a negative 14.7% and EBITDA is –74 million, indicating ongoing loss generation. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 71.5% and total debt of TWD 367 million, while cash balances are only TWD 124 million, creating a liquidity strain. The company trades at a price‑to‑book of 1.75 and a price‑to‑sales of 1.56, which is modest relative to the industry average PE of 26, suggesting a potential value cushion. No dividend is paid, eliminating income‑focused appeal. The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 72.9 (“Greed”), reflecting broad market optimism that may be at odds with the stock’s weak earnings profile. Combined with a beta of 0.41, the equity is less correlated with market swings but remains exposed to sector‑specific regulatory and geographic headwinds. Consequently, investors should weigh the near‑term technical oversold signal against the fundamental earnings deficits and high debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major SMAs
  • bearish MACD histogram
  • negative operating cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • 11% revenue growth
  • moderate price‑to‑book valuation
  • high debt‑to‑equity ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside from undervalued book value
  • market greed sentiment
  • opportunity for earnings turnaround

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.00%
Profit Margin-26.67%
ROE-25.77%
ROA-8.26%
Debt/Equity71.49
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowNT$-57167000
Free Cash FlowNT$-48857124
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI17.9
SupportNT$13.95
ResistanceNT$18.40
MA 20NT$16.56
MA 50NT$17.40
MA 200NT$19.54
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.41
Volatility30.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.