SBIN:NSESTATE BANK OF INDIA FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-15 - not real-time
₹963.20
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
SBIN is trading at 963.2, just above the identified support of 957, indicating a tight cushion against further downside. The 20‑day SMA sits near 1057 while the 50‑day SMA is around 1065, leaving the price well below both moving averages and suggesting a short‑term bearish bias. However, the RSI of 31 signals oversold conditions, which could set the stage for a corrective bounce. MACD remains in bearish territory with the histogram expanding negative, reinforcing momentum to the downside. Volume has been increasing, supporting the price action and providing liquidity.
Despite the technical headwinds, the stock’s valuation appears attractive, with a trailing PE near 10.5 and a forward PE under 10, alongside a dividend yield of roughly 1.8%. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” implying bullish investor appetite, while the beta of 0.47 points to modest volatility relative to the market. A 30‑day volatility of over 32% and a max drawdown of 21% highlight notable price swings, underscoring the need for disciplined risk management. Overall, the combination of near‑term support, oversold momentum, solid fundamentals, and favorable sentiment suggests a cautious but optimistic positioning.
Despite the technical headwinds, the stock’s valuation appears attractive, with a trailing PE near 10.5 and a forward PE under 10, alongside a dividend yield of roughly 1.8%. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” implying bullish investor appetite, while the beta of 0.47 points to modest volatility relative to the market. A 30‑day volatility of over 32% and a max drawdown of 21% highlight notable price swings, underscoring the need for disciplined risk management. Overall, the combination of near‑term support, oversold momentum, solid fundamentals, and favorable sentiment suggests a cautious but optimistic positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price hovering just above key support
- oversold RSI indicating potential bounce
- increasing volume supporting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- attractive valuation metrics (PE, dividend yield)
- favorable market sentiment (Extreme Greed)
- moderate beta suggesting manageable volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- strong fundamentals and growth prospects in Indian banking
- stable dividend policy
- demographic tailwinds and digital banking expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price963.2
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.3
Support₹957.00
Resistance₹1,120.95
MA 20₹1,057.11
MA 50₹1,064.69
MA 200₹976.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.04
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.20
Volatility32.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.