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SBIN:NSESTATE BANK OF INDIA FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

₹1,112.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SBIN is trading at ₹1,112.2, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of ₹1,186.5 and the 50‑day SMA of ₹1,093.9, indicating a bullish price positioning. The stock also sits well above the 200‑day SMA of ₹922.1, reinforcing a long‑term upward bias. Technical momentum is mixed: the MACD histogram is negative (‑17.96) and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI at 41.5 suggests the shares are not yet oversold. The current price remains within the defined support zone of ₹1,064.3 and below the resistance at ₹1,234.7, offering a clear upside corridor. Volume has been stable, matching the 10‑day average, which supports the price move without abrupt spikes.
Volatility over the past 30 days stands at 34.5 %, reflecting moderate price swings typical for a large‑cap bank. The beta of –0.04 (computed) and the market‑listed beta of 0.30 point to low relative sensitivity to broader market moves. The Fear & Greed Index at 76.9 (“Extreme Greed”) signals strong investor appetite, which can fuel further price appreciation. Valuation metrics are attractive, with a trailing PE of 11.96 and a price‑to‑book of 1.73, implying the stock is reasonably priced relative to earnings and assets. A dividend yield of 1.45 % adds income appeal for long‑term holders. The maximum drawdown of –10.5 % indicates that downside risk has been contained in recent periods. Overall, the confluence of bullish SMA alignment, supportive technical levels, moderate volatility, and favorable market sentiment suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs indicating bullish bias
  • Support level at ₹1,064.3 provides downside cushion
  • MACD bearish divergence suggests caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent alignment with 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs
  • Attractive valuation (PE ~12, P/B ~1.7)
  • Extreme Greed market sentiment supporting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market cap and stable dividend yield
  • Low beta indicating resilience to market swings
  • Fundamental fundamentals (earnings, asset base) remain solid

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1112.2
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityHigh
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.5
Support₹1,064.30
Resistance₹1,234.70
MA 20₹1,186.51
MA 50₹1,093.91
MA 200₹922.08
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.04
Volatility34.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.