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SABIC:NASDAQDUBAISaudi Basic Industries Corp. Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

SAR 137.30

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

SABIC Agri‑Nutrients is trading at 137.3 SAR, comfortably above its 20‑day (129.0), 50‑day (123.5) and 200‑day (117.6) SMAs, indicating a strong bullish bias. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover (3.41 vs. 2.51) and an RSI of 64, suggesting upside potential while still leaving room before overbought territory. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price advance, and the stock sits near its 52‑week high of 140.5 SAR with a nearby resistance at 140.5 and support at 115.5. The dividend yield of 5.1% offers an attractive income component, and a low beta (~0.13‑0.33) points to limited market‑wide volatility. Market sentiment is in a “Greed” phase (Fear‑Greed Index 72.8), aligning with the bullish technical setup. Recent material news highlights a 52‑week high and a new non‑exclusive distribution agreement, adding a catalyst for near‑term demand.
Looking ahead, the combination of solid fundamentals, a high dividend, and a low‑beta profile suggests resilience against broader market swings. The supply‑demand outlook for agri‑nutrients remains tight, bolstered by the distribution partnership, which could sustain earnings growth. While the price is near resistance, the bullish trend, strong cash flow, and favorable macro sentiment justify a continued positive stance for medium‑ and long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near 52‑week high with limited upside
  • bullish technical indicators but RSI approaching overbought
  • strong dividend yield supporting total return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • tight supply‑demand backdrop for fertilizers
  • new distribution agreement expanding market reach
  • low beta and attractive dividend underpinning stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • structural growth in global agricultural demand
  • consistent cash flow and high dividend yield
  • stable Saudi operating environment with limited currency risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price137.3
Futures CurveContango
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI64.0
SupportSAR 115.50
ResistanceSAR 140.50
MA 20SAR 129.01
MA 50SAR 123.52
MA 200SAR 117.61
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.8

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility32.10%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.