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RYAM:NYSERayonier Advanced Materials Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$8.49

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Rayonier Advanced Materials is trading near a key support level with the short‑term moving average positioned below the intermediate moving average, while the price remains above the long‑term average, creating a technically neutral picture. Momentum indicators such as the RSI sit below the midpoint, suggesting modest downside pressure, and the MACD line sits under its signal, signaling bearish momentum. Recent earnings disclosed a sizable loss and a sharp miss on EPS expectations, yet revenue modestly beat forecasts and the company reported improved pricing in its fluff segment. Analysts maintain a buy stance with a target price substantially above the current level, implying considerable upside, but the balance sheet shows high leverage, negative cash flow and elevated volatility, underscoring heightened risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering at technical support
  • bearish MACD and sub‑50 RSI
  • recent earnings miss and high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • analyst target price indicating strong upside
  • pricing tailwinds in the fluff market
  • strategic review that could unlock value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • significant debt load and negative free cash flow
  • potential restructuring or sale of assets
  • cyclical nature of the chemicals and pulp industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.50%
Profit Margin-32.82%
P/E Ratio7.8
ROE-100.54%
ROA-0.10%
Debt/Equity316.75
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$16.2M
Free Cash Flow$-42060752

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.5
Support$8.48
Resistance$10.13
MA 20$9.30
MA 50$9.98
MA 200$7.65
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Target Price$14.50
Upside/Downside70.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.10
Volatility61.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.