QS:NASDAQQuantumScape Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-25 - not real-time
$7.13
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
QuantumScape (QS) is trading at $7.13, below its 20‑day SMA of $7.83 and 50‑day SMA of $7.71, indicating a short‑term price weakness despite an increasing volume trend. The MACD shows a bearish divergence (line –0.20 vs signal –0.13) and the RSI at 44 points to neutral momentum, while support sits near $6.85 and resistance near $9.65. On the news side, the stock jumped 7% after a multi‑year research partnership with Honda was announced, providing a fresh catalyst that could help bridge the gap to commercialization.
Fundamentally, QS remains pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA of $‑396 M, and operating cash outflows of $‑241 M, reflecting a high‑risk growth profile. The balance sheet shows ample cash ($904 M) versus modest debt ($69 M), but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 6.2 and a price‑to‑book of 3.95 suggest the market is pricing in future upside. With a 30‑day volatility of ~91% and a beta above 3, the stock is highly sensitive to market swings, and the lack of dividend makes income sustainability irrelevant.
Fundamentally, QS remains pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA of $‑396 M, and operating cash outflows of $‑241 M, reflecting a high‑risk growth profile. The balance sheet shows ample cash ($904 M) versus modest debt ($69 M), but a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 6.2 and a price‑to‑book of 3.95 suggest the market is pricing in future upside. With a 30‑day volatility of ~91% and a beta above 3, the stock is highly sensitive to market swings, and the lack of dividend makes income sustainability irrelevant.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
- Elevated volatility and beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Honda partnership could unlock commercialization
- Strong cash position offsets operating losses
- Market sentiment reflected in extreme greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential breakthrough in solid‑state battery technology
- Long‑term growth upside in EV supply chain
- Analyst median target price above current level
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-10.5
ROE-38.00%
ROA-23.02%
Debt/Equity6.24
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$-241235008
Free Cash Flow$-148616128
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.8
Support$6.85
Resistance$9.65
MA 20$7.83
MA 50$7.71
MA 200$10.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.7
Valuation
Target Price$7.16
Upside/Downside0.46%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.04
Volatility90.97%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.