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QS:NASDAQQuantumScape Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$7.30

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

QuantumScape is trading at $7.30, which sits below its 200‑day SMA (~$10.13) and just above the identified support level of $6.55, indicating limited upside from a technical perspective. The RSI of 47 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest a neutral‑to‑slightly negative momentum, while the high 30‑day volatility (≈64%) and a beta of 2.8 underscore a very volatile price profile. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA, and substantial operating cash‑flow deficits, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 6, highlighting significant financial strain. However, recent material news – completion of the Eagle Line pilot production, AI‑driven quality gains, and active engagements with four top‑10 global OEMs – sparked a 14% intraday rally to $8.35, showing that market sentiment can be driven by breakthrough milestones despite weak fundamentals.
Investors should weigh the short‑term price enthusiasm against the long‑term cash‑flow challenges and high valuation multiples (price‑to‑book ~4x). The stock remains highly speculative; any upside hinges on successful commercialization of solid‑state cells and scaling to revenue‑generating volumes.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
  • Price below long‑term SMA and near support
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Ongoing pilot production and OEM partnerships
  • Continued negative cash flow and high debt
  • Elevated volatility and beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential breakthrough in solid‑state battery commercialization
  • Strategic OEM collaborations across key markets
  • Long‑term EV market growth despite near‑term financial weakness

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-11.8
ROE-38.00%
ROA-23.02%
Debt/Equity6.24
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$-241235008
Free Cash Flow$-148616128

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.4
Support$6.55
Resistance$9.66
MA 20$7.56
MA 50$7.03
MA 200$10.13
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Valuation

Target Price$7.16
Upside/Downside-1.88%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.82
Volatility64.52%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.