QS:NASDAQQuantumScape Corporation analysis
Data as of Oct 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $3.87
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
QuantumScape Corporation trades at $3.87, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 30.8%. With RSI at 28.5 the momentum picture is oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $3.80 as support and $5.08 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Consensus targets land 49.7% above where the shares trade now.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 50.6%, a beta of 3.16 and a maximum drawdown of 79.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Consensus targets land 49.7% above where the shares trade now.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 50.6%, a beta of 3.16 and a maximum drawdown of 79.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
Top market events
- QuantumScape has shed half its value this year while its sector index climbed, and the gap between those two lines...
- QuantumScape QS reported earnings 30 days ago.
- Morningstar's fair value estimate and competitor comparison for QuantumScape Corp Ordinary Shares - Class A QS...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 28.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.92
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 28.5 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 6.92
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +49.7% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -39.1%
- Negative free cash flow
Key metrics
Financial health
P/E Ratio-5.8
ROE-39.08%
ROA-24.27%
Debt/Equity6.41
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$-236143008
Free Cash Flow$-141085376
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.5
Support$3.80
Resistance$5.08
MA 20$4.45
MA 50$5.13
MA 200$6.92
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.13
Valuation
Target Price$5.79
Upside/Downside49.66%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta3.16
Volatility50.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.