QS:NASDAQQuantumScape Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$7.30
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
QuantumScape is trading at $7.30, which sits below its 200‑day SMA (~$10.13) and just above the identified support level of $6.55, indicating limited upside from a technical perspective. The RSI of 47 and a bearish MACD histogram suggest a neutral‑to‑slightly negative momentum, while the high 30‑day volatility (≈64%) and a beta of 2.8 underscore a very volatile price profile. Fundamentally, the company reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA, and substantial operating cash‑flow deficits, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 6, highlighting significant financial strain. However, recent material news – completion of the Eagle Line pilot production, AI‑driven quality gains, and active engagements with four top‑10 global OEMs – sparked a 14% intraday rally to $8.35, showing that market sentiment can be driven by breakthrough milestones despite weak fundamentals.
Investors should weigh the short‑term price enthusiasm against the long‑term cash‑flow challenges and high valuation multiples (price‑to‑book ~4x). The stock remains highly speculative; any upside hinges on successful commercialization of solid‑state cells and scaling to revenue‑generating volumes.
Investors should weigh the short‑term price enthusiasm against the long‑term cash‑flow challenges and high valuation multiples (price‑to‑book ~4x). The stock remains highly speculative; any upside hinges on successful commercialization of solid‑state cells and scaling to revenue‑generating volumes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
- Price below long‑term SMA and near support
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Ongoing pilot production and OEM partnerships
- Continued negative cash flow and high debt
- Elevated volatility and beta
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential breakthrough in solid‑state battery commercialization
- Strategic OEM collaborations across key markets
- Long‑term EV market growth despite near‑term financial weakness
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-11.8
ROE-38.00%
ROA-23.02%
Debt/Equity6.24
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$-241235008
Free Cash Flow$-148616128
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.4
Support$6.55
Resistance$9.66
MA 20$7.56
MA 50$7.03
MA 200$10.13
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29
Valuation
Target Price$7.16
Upside/Downside-1.88%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.82
Volatility64.52%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.