TTWO:NASDAQTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$214.63
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Take‑Two Interactive is trading at $214.63, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (205.75) but still below the 50‑day (226.50) and 200‑day (237.29) averages, signaling a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term downtrend. The MACD histogram is positive (2.73) and the signal line turned bullish, while RSI sits near the midpoint at 51, suggesting limited downside pressure. Support at $188.65 and resistance near $221.08 frame the current price range, and the 30‑day volatility of almost 49% underscores a highly swing‑prone stock. Fundamentally, revenue grew 24.9% YoY to $6.56 B and free cash flow surged to $1.49 B, yet operating margins remain negative and debt‑to‑equity sits at 100%, reflecting a leveraged balance sheet. The discounted cash flow model values TTWO at roughly $298, implying an upside of about 29% versus the market price, while the forward P/E of 27.5 exceeds the industry average of 18.3, hinting at growth premium pricing. Recent earnings beat, a bullish endorsement from Jim Cramer, and the imminent launch of Grand Theft Auto VI provide strong catalysts that could accelerate the upside. However, decreasing volume trends and a bearish overall trend direction temper enthusiasm, making the stock a high‑volatility, growth‑oriented play.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD signal amid bearish longer‑term trend
- Price near immediate resistance at $221.08
- Decreasing volume indicating potential short‑term consolidation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Upcoming GTA VI launch expected to boost revenues
- DCF upside of ~29% and strong analyst consensus (Strong Buy)
- Robust free cash flow and improving cash position
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable franchise pipeline across multiple platforms
- Long‑term undervaluation relative to fair value estimate
- Resilient cash generation despite high leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth24.90%
Profit Margin-60.45%
P/E Ratio27.5
ROE-86.22%
ROA-0.25%
Debt/Equity100.45
P/B Ratio11.4
Op. Cash Flow$667.9M
Free Cash Flow$1.5B
Industry P/E18.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.1
Support$188.65
Resistance$221.08
MA 20$205.75
MA 50$226.50
MA 200$237.29
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.02
Valuation
Fair Value$297.96
Target Price$276.81
Upside/Downside28.97%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility48.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.