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002409:SZSEJiangsu Yoke Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

CN¥89.03

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Jiangsu Yoke Technology posted a robust 24.7% revenue growth and an 11% profit margin, underscoring solid operating performance. However, its trailing PE of 46.1 is well above the industry average of 34.6, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥62.5 is far below the current market price of ¥89.0, indicating the stock is materially overvalued at present. The company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 44.4% and negative free cash flow, which tempers the attractiveness of its dividend (0.64% yield) despite a modest 30% payout ratio.
On the technical side, the price sits just below the 20‑day SMA (¥91.5) but above the 50‑day SMA (¥89.0), with bullish trend direction and strong support at ¥84.7. Yet the MACD remains bearish and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~50%, suggesting short‑term price swings. Volume is increasing, reinforcing the current price action, while a low beta of 0.12 points to limited systematic market risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near strong support at ¥84.7
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • 24.7% YoY revenue growth
  • Forward EPS growth to ¥3.16
  • Industry tailwinds in semiconductor materials

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in high‑growth semiconductor equipment sector
  • Potential for debt reduction as cash flow improves
  • Long‑term valuation gap if price reverts toward DCF fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.70%
Profit Margin11.03%
P/E Ratio46.1
ROE10.11%
ROA5.16%
Debt/Equity44.42
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-448872864
Industry P/E34.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.7
SupportCN¥84.67
ResistanceCN¥99.53
MA 20CN¥91.52
MA 50CN¥88.96
MA 200CN¥69.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.54

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥62.49
Target PriceCN¥89.15
Upside/Downside0.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.64%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility50.47%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.