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1339:HKEXThe People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

NT$44.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Y.C.C. Parts Mfg. Co., Ltd. trades around TWD 44.8, well above its DCF fair value of roughly TWD 23.9, indicating a sizable overvaluation. PE ratio of 18.6 and a price‑to‑book of 1.14 further underscore the premium pricing, while the RSI of 62.6 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory. The MACD remains bullish, yet the price sits below the short‑term resistance at TWD 47.5 and above the support at TWD 40, implying limited upside in the near term. Fundamentally, the company faces a 20% revenue decline and a near‑zero operating margin, compounded by a high payout ratio of 124% that questions dividend sustainability. Volatility is elevated at about 36% over the past month, but beta is low (0.18), reflecting limited market‑wide sensitivity. Overall, the combination of overvaluation, weakening earnings, and an unsustainable dividend points to a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value
  • High dividend payout ratio suggests unsustainability
  • Technical indicators show limited upside near resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue decline and thin operating margins
  • Potential price correction aligning with fair value
  • Still attractive dividend yield if payout improves

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Structural earnings weakness and negative growth
  • Overvaluation relative to fundamentals
  • Cyclical exposure in auto parts sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-20.20%
Profit Margin20.09%
P/E Ratio18.6
ROE8.04%
ROA1.89%
Debt/Equity6.95
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$774.8M
Free Cash FlowNT$72.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.6
SupportNT$40.00
ResistanceNT$47.50
MA 20NT$42.74
MA 50NT$41.74
MA 200NT$43.16
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$23.86
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility35.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.