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POLYCAB:NSEPOLYCAB FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₹7,193.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Polycab India Limited is trading at ₹7,193.5, well below its 20‑day SMA of ₹7,999 and 50‑day SMA of ₹7,653, indicating short‑term weakness, but it sits just under the 200‑day SMA of ₹7,230, suggesting a potential baseline support. The RSI of 35.4 points to oversold conditions, offering a possible rebound catalyst, while the MACD histogram remains deeply negative, flagging lingering bearish momentum. Volume trends are increasing, reinforcing the price move and hinting at growing market participation. The stock’s beta of –0.20 (computed) and 0.37 (quote) signals low systematic risk, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 72.88 (“Greed”) reflects a broadly optimistic market mood that could support a bounce. Support sits at ₹7,118 with resistance at ₹8,722, giving a sizable upside corridor if buying pressure resumes. Overall, the blend of technical oversold signals, rising volume, and modest risk profile makes the near‑term outlook cautiously optimistic.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price below short‑term SMAs
  • Increasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential bounce toward SMA‑200
  • Broad market optimism (Greed index)
  • Stable earnings outlook in cable sector

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong brand position in Indian electrical market
  • Moderate valuation metrics (PE ~41)
  • Low currency and geopolitical exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price7193.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI35.4
Support₹7,118.00
Resistance₹8,722.00
MA 20₹7,999.00
MA 50₹7,653.02
MA 200₹7,230.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.20
Volatility40.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.