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PBI:NYSEPitney Bowes Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-10 - not real-time

$18.33

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Pitney Bowes is trading at $18.33, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $17.41 and the 200‑day SMA of $12.21, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, but the price sits just below the calculated resistance of $18.61 and above the support level of $16.58. Technical indicators show an RSI of 66, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, signaling a potential bearish crossover despite an overall bullish trend direction. Fundamentally, the company’s DCF fair value of roughly $10.15 is far below the current market price, pointing to an overvalued market perception; however, the forward PE of 10.5 is well under the industry average PE of 31.2, hinting at relative valuation appeal. Revenue has contracted by 3.2% year‑over‑year, yet operating margins remain healthy at 23% and free cash flow is positive at $254 M, supporting the current 2.26% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 32%. The balance sheet shows substantial debt of $2.27 B but a debt‑to‑equity of zero due to negative equity, and the beta of 0.83 suggests lower systematic risk than the market. Volatility is elevated at nearly 30% over the past 30 days, but trading volume is stable, providing adequate liquidity. In sum, the stock exhibits mixed signals: strong cash generation and dividend sustainability on one hand, but overvaluation, revenue decline, and a negative book value on the other.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance and overbought RSI
  • Bearish MACD histogram signaling possible pullback
  • Market price far above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable operating cash flow and dividend yield
  • Revenue contraction but solid operating margins
  • Beta below 1 indicating modest market sensitivity

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Negative book value and high absolute debt level
  • Persistent revenue decline and limited growth outlook
  • Current market price significantly exceeds intrinsic valuation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.20%
Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio17.6
ROA7.68%
P/B Ratio-2.8
Op. Cash Flow$444.1M
Free Cash Flow$254.8M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI66.1
Support$16.58
Resistance$18.61
MA 20$17.41
MA 50$16.52
MA 200$12.21
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value$10.15
Target Price$17.14
Upside/Downside-6.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.83
Volatility29.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.