PBI:NYSEPitney Bowes Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-10 - not real-time
$18.33
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pitney Bowes is trading at $18.33, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $17.41 and the 200‑day SMA of $12.21, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, but the price sits just below the calculated resistance of $18.61 and above the support level of $16.58. Technical indicators show an RSI of 66, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, signaling a potential bearish crossover despite an overall bullish trend direction. Fundamentally, the company’s DCF fair value of roughly $10.15 is far below the current market price, pointing to an overvalued market perception; however, the forward PE of 10.5 is well under the industry average PE of 31.2, hinting at relative valuation appeal. Revenue has contracted by 3.2% year‑over‑year, yet operating margins remain healthy at 23% and free cash flow is positive at $254 M, supporting the current 2.26% dividend yield with a payout ratio of 32%. The balance sheet shows substantial debt of $2.27 B but a debt‑to‑equity of zero due to negative equity, and the beta of 0.83 suggests lower systematic risk than the market. Volatility is elevated at nearly 30% over the past 30 days, but trading volume is stable, providing adequate liquidity. In sum, the stock exhibits mixed signals: strong cash generation and dividend sustainability on one hand, but overvaluation, revenue decline, and a negative book value on the other.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance and overbought RSI
- Bearish MACD histogram signaling possible pullback
- Market price far above DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Stable operating cash flow and dividend yield
- Revenue contraction but solid operating margins
- Beta below 1 indicating modest market sensitivity
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Negative book value and high absolute debt level
- Persistent revenue decline and limited growth outlook
- Current market price significantly exceeds intrinsic valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.20%
Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio17.6
ROA7.68%
P/B Ratio-2.8
Op. Cash Flow$444.1M
Free Cash Flow$254.8M
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI66.1
Support$16.58
Resistance$18.61
MA 20$17.41
MA 50$16.52
MA 200$12.21
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.59
Valuation
Fair Value$10.15
Target Price$17.14
Upside/Downside-6.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.83
Volatility29.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.