NBN:NASDAQNortheast Bank Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-19 - not real-time
$124.15
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Northeast Bank (NBN) is trading at a price well above its 20‑day (≈$116) and 50‑day (≈$115) SMAs, signaling a strong bullish momentum. The RSI sits near 68, indicating the stock is approaching overbought territory but still has room for upside. Technicals are reinforced by a bullish MACD histogram and a clear uptrend, while the 30‑day volatility of over 22% and a beta above 1 suggest heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward P/E of under 9 versus an industry average of ~17.7, pointing to a substantial valuation discount. Operating margins exceed 60% and ROE is near 18%, underscoring efficient earnings generation despite a modest revenue contraction of 3.1%. The balance sheet shows ample cash (≈$446 M) relative to debt (≈$519 M) and a negligible payout ratio, making the 3% dividend highly sustainable. Analyst consensus is limited (2 analysts, no explicit recommendation), but the target price of $126.5 implies modest upside of roughly 2% from the current level. Overall, the stock blends strong technical support, attractive valuation, and a durable dividend, though the regional banking sector carries moderate regulatory and credit risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical positioning near key SMAs
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Decreasing volume trend adds caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to peers
- Strong operating margins and ROE
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash generation and solid balance sheet
- Regional banking exposure to credit cycles
- Consistent dividend yield supporting income investors
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.10%
Profit Margin40.91%
P/E Ratio12.0
ROE17.79%
ROA1.93%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$7.1M
Industry P/E17.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$105.51
Resistance$127.00
MA 20$116.21
MA 50$114.85
MA 200$103.82
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.21
Valuation
Target Price$126.50
Upside/Downside1.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.03%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.14
Volatility22.65%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.