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EWZS:NASDAQiShares MSCI Brazil Small-Cap ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-01 - not real-time

$14.86

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

EWZS is trading at $14.86, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (14.12) but still below the 50‑day SMA (14.74), indicating short‑term momentum while the longer‑term 200‑day SMA (13.60) remains supportive. The RSI sits at 56, suggesting neutral overbought/oversold pressure, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal line cross, reinforcing a modest upside bias. Volume is on an increasing trend, and the ETF sits near the upper end of its recent range (resistance $15.10, support $13.03), which together with a 19.86% YTD return and an "Extreme Greed" sentiment score of 77.6 points to continued buying pressure. However, the 30‑day volatility is high at 46.6% and the max drawdown of 17% signals that price swings can be sharp, especially given the fund’s exposure to Brazil’s small‑cap sector, which carries a high sector concentration risk. The low beta (0.90) and zero tracking error suggest the fund tracks its benchmark closely, while the modest expense ratio of 0.59% keeps costs in check. Overall, the ETF appears positioned for a short‑term rally but investors should remain mindful of the underlying market volatility and currency exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover with positive histogram
  • Increasing volume trend supporting price advance
  • Strong YTD performance and extreme greed sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral RSI and price near resistance level
  • High 30‑day volatility indicating potential pullbacks
  • Sustained exposure to Brazil small‑cap growth prospects

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High sector concentration risk in Brazil small‑caps
  • Moderate expense ratio with low tracking error
  • Currency exposure and historical drawdown risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.59%
AUM$364.3M
Inception Date2010-09-28
Avg Daily Volume501,630
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.21%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI56.1
Support$13.03
Resistance$15.10
MA 20$14.12
MA 50$14.74
MA 200$13.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility46.56%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.