NHPC:NSENHPC FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-17 - not real-time
₹76.37
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind NHPC Limited is neutral at INR 76.37, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. The last 30 days have lost 4.4%. Relative strength is 39.7 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at INR 76.00 up to resistance at INR 83.00.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 15.9%, a beta of -0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 18.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as balanced.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 15.9%, a beta of -0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 18.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.
Top Market Events
Investing2monEarnings call transcript: NHPC Q4 2026 sees 22.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 78.36
- MACD momentum is negative
- RSI at 39.7 is in neutral territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 78.36
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day volatility of 15.9%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- 30-day volatility of 15.9%
- Beta of -0.14 versus the benchmark
- Trading below the 200-day average of 78.36
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price76.37
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI39.7
Support₹76.00
Resistance₹83.00
MA 20₹78.37
MA 50₹78.12
MA 200₹78.36
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.77
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.14
Volatility15.91%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.