MSDL:NYSEMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund analysis
Data as of Oct 11, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $13.38
- Risk: medium
- 4/10Medium risk
Summary
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is priced at $13.38 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. It has lost 12.7% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 27.8 — oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $13.23 as support and $15.05 as the nearer resistance level.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 19.0%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 25.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 19.0%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 25.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- On August 6, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund NYSE:MSDL reported financial results for the quarter ended June 30, and...
- MSDL maintains its $0.45 dividend as the Capstone JV ramps up, offsetting higher financing costs and increased...
- MarketScreener5dMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 27.8 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 15.22
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 27.8 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 15.22
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Maximum drawdown of 25.1%
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 27.8 signals oversold conditions
Key metrics
Closed-end fund metrics
Market Price13.38
Discount/Premium0.00%
Discount TrendStable
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI27.8
Support$13.23
Resistance$15.05
MA 20$14.13
MA 50$14.78
MA 200$15.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.93
Risk assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility18.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.