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MARA:NASDAQMARA Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$11.32

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

MARA is trading at $11.32, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 11.96 and 50‑day SMA of 13.13, but just above the 200‑day SMA of 11.80, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term flat trend. The RSI at 44.6 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains bearish, though volume is increasing and the stock holds above the calculated support of $10.03 with resistance near $14.41. Volatility is extreme at 94.6% over the past 30 days and beta of 3.37 signals high systematic risk, compounded by a historic max drawdown of over 70%. Fundamental metrics show a negative PE (-16.6 forward) and a price‑to‑book of 1.93 against a book value of $5.86 per share, implying the market is discounting the asset base. The balance sheet is leveraged, with debt exceeding $2.4 B and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 100%, while operating and free cash flow are deeply negative. Recent material news highlights a definitive agreement to acquire a Texas land parcel that could double power capacity to 4.8 GW and an announced pivot toward AI infrastructure, which could provide a strategic growth engine beyond volatile Bitcoin mining.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with upside to $14.41 resistance
  • Increasing volume despite bearish MACD suggests accumulation
  • Texas land deal expands power capacity, providing near‑term catalyst

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • AI infrastructure pivot offers growth beyond crypto mining
  • Undervalued price‑to‑book multiple relative to asset base
  • Analyst consensus and target price upside of ~30‑50%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load and persistent negative cash flow remain concerns
  • Regulatory uncertainty around cryptocurrency mining
  • Capital‑intensive power projects require time to monetize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-18.40%
Profit Margin-234.83%
P/E Ratio-16.6
ROE-67.33%
ROA-15.59%
Debt/Equity105.60
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$-834726016
Free Cash Flow$-531064736
Industry P/E18.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.6
Support$10.03
Resistance$14.41
MA 20$11.96
MA 50$13.13
MA 200$11.80
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Target Price$18.13
Upside/Downside60.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta3.37
Volatility94.57%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.