MARA:NASDAQMARA Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
MARA is trading at $11.32, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 11.96 and 50‑day SMA of 13.13, but just above the 200‑day SMA of 11.80, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term flat trend. The RSI at 44.6 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains bearish, though volume is increasing and the stock holds above the calculated support of $10.03 with resistance near $14.41. Volatility is extreme at 94.6% over the past 30 days and beta of 3.37 signals high systematic risk, compounded by a historic max drawdown of over 70%. Fundamental metrics show a negative PE (-16.6 forward) and a price‑to‑book of 1.93 against a book value of $5.86 per share, implying the market is discounting the asset base. The balance sheet is leveraged, with debt exceeding $2.4 B and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 100%, while operating and free cash flow are deeply negative. Recent material news highlights a definitive agreement to acquire a Texas land parcel that could double power capacity to 4.8 GW and an announced pivot toward AI infrastructure, which could provide a strategic growth engine beyond volatile Bitcoin mining.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price near support with upside to $14.41 resistance
- Increasing volume despite bearish MACD suggests accumulation
- Texas land deal expands power capacity, providing near‑term catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- AI infrastructure pivot offers growth beyond crypto mining
- Undervalued price‑to‑book multiple relative to asset base
- Analyst consensus and target price upside of ~30‑50%
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- High debt load and persistent negative cash flow remain concerns
- Regulatory uncertainty around cryptocurrency mining
- Capital‑intensive power projects require time to monetize
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.