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KRDMD:BISTKARDEMIR KARABUK DEMIR CELIK SAN FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

TRY 29.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action: KRDMD is trading at 29.5 TRY, just above the 20‑day SMA (31.04) and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA (29.80), but still below its 52‑week high of 33.94. RSI sits at 44.9, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD has turned bearish (histogram –0.25) and volume is on a downtrend, suggesting short‑term pressure toward the identified support at 28.5.
Market sentiment & fundamentals: The Fear‑Greed Index reads 72.9 (Greed), reflecting bullish sentiment despite the recent price pull‑back. Recent capital‑increase filings hint at potential financing for capacity upgrades, which could bolster medium‑term demand for its steel and coke products. Overall, the stock sits in a bullish trend framework but faces near‑term downside risk, balanced by strong sector demand and favorable sentiment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD crossover
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Proximity to technical support at 28.5

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Capital‑increase filings enabling capacity expansion
  • Bullish overall market sentiment (Greed index)
  • Potential rebound toward resistance at 33.28

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Structural demand for steel and coke in Turkey and export markets
  • Resilient fundamentals with price‑to‑book below 1
  • Long‑term upside from industry consolidation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price29.5
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.9
SupportTRY 28.50
ResistanceTRY 33.28
MA 20TRY 31.04
MA 50TRY 29.80
MA 200TRY 27.24
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.18
Volatility46.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.