KCHOL:BISTKOC HOLDING FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-14 - not real-time
TRY 207.20
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Koç Holding A.S. is priced at TRY 207.20 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 6.3%. Relative strength is 58.7 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near TRY 190.50 and resistance around TRY 209.50.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 33.8%, a beta of -0.02 and a maximum drawdown of 19.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The futures curve is in flat, with the curve offering little signal either way. Supply and demand read as tight.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 33.8%, a beta of -0.02 and a maximum drawdown of 19.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: buy near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 191.54
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 191.54
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 33.8%
- Beta of -0.02 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price207.2
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.7
SupportTRY 190.50
ResistanceTRY 209.50
MA 20TRY 199.52
MA 50TRY 195.07
MA 200TRY 191.54
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.38
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.02
Volatility33.81%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.