We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

KCHOL:BISTKOC HOLDING FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-30 - not real-time

TRY 195.70

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

Koç Holding is trading at 195.7 TRY, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (192.73) and just below the 50‑day SMA (197.29), while sitting midway between the identified support (180.20) and resistance (202.30) zones. The MACD histogram is positive (0.73) with a bullish signal, and the RSI hovers around a neutral 51.6, suggesting limited upward momentum but no immediate overbought pressure. Volume remains stable and liquidity is strong, yet 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 37%, and the Fear‑Greed Index signals “Extreme Greed,” indicating heightened market optimism. Beta is exceptionally low (computed 0.06), pointing to minimal correlation with broader market swings, while the forward PE of 6.55 hints at potential earnings upside.
Given the neutral trend direction and balanced technical landscape, the short‑term outlook favors a cautious stance, but the combination of low systematic risk, solid dividend yield (3.45%), and attractive valuation metrics supports a buy‑and‑hold approach for medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near the midpoint of support/resistance range
  • Bullish MACD but neutral RSI
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
  • Attractive forward PE and dividend yield
  • Stable volume and liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent earnings potential reflected in forward valuation
  • Diversified conglomerate structure reducing sector risk
  • Current market sentiment of extreme greed suggesting price may still climb

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price195.7
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.6
SupportTRY 180.20
ResistanceTRY 202.30
MA 20TRY 192.73
MA 50TRY 197.29
MA 200TRY 187.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.91

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility36.84%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.