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KCHOL:BISTKOC HOLDING FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

TRY 192.30

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Koç Holding trades at 192.3, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of 175.8, signaling long‑term bullishness, yet it sits below the 20‑day (204.99) and 50‑day (199.27) averages, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 41 points to neutral‑to‑slightly bearish momentum, and the MACD histogram is negative, flagged as bearish, while volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 34 %. Despite these technical headwinds, the Fear & Greed Index reads 78.16 – “Extreme Greed” – and the stock’s market cap remains robust.
Fundamentally, the company looks attractive: a forward PE of 6.43, trailing PE of 22.13, a price‑to‑book of 0.72 and a dividend yield of 3.53 % provide a solid valuation cushion. Support sits near 179.4 and resistance near 229.1, offering roughly 25 % upside potential, while the computed beta of 0.02 (quote beta 0.311) suggests limited systematic risk. The blend of undervaluation, strong dividend and low beta supports a positive outlook, though short‑term technical weakness and waning volume advise a measured approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMAs
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation metrics (low forward PE, P/B < 1)
  • Strong dividend yield
  • Support level providing downside cushion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained low beta indicating defensive profile
  • Long‑term upside to 52‑week high
  • Robust market cap and diversified business model

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price192.3
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.4
SupportTRY 179.40
ResistanceTRY 229.10
MA 20TRY 204.99
MA 50TRY 199.27
MA 200TRY 175.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility34.06%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.