KCHOL:BISTKOC HOLDING FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
TRY 192.30
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Koç Holding trades at 192.3, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of 175.8, signaling long‑term bullishness, yet it sits below the 20‑day (204.99) and 50‑day (199.27) averages, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI of 41 points to neutral‑to‑slightly bearish momentum, and the MACD histogram is negative, flagged as bearish, while volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 34 %. Despite these technical headwinds, the Fear & Greed Index reads 78.16 – “Extreme Greed” – and the stock’s market cap remains robust.
Fundamentally, the company looks attractive: a forward PE of 6.43, trailing PE of 22.13, a price‑to‑book of 0.72 and a dividend yield of 3.53 % provide a solid valuation cushion. Support sits near 179.4 and resistance near 229.1, offering roughly 25 % upside potential, while the computed beta of 0.02 (quote beta 0.311) suggests limited systematic risk. The blend of undervaluation, strong dividend and low beta supports a positive outlook, though short‑term technical weakness and waning volume advise a measured approach.
Fundamentally, the company looks attractive: a forward PE of 6.43, trailing PE of 22.13, a price‑to‑book of 0.72 and a dividend yield of 3.53 % provide a solid valuation cushion. Support sits near 179.4 and resistance near 229.1, offering roughly 25 % upside potential, while the computed beta of 0.02 (quote beta 0.311) suggests limited systematic risk. The blend of undervaluation, strong dividend and low beta supports a positive outlook, though short‑term technical weakness and waning volume advise a measured approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMAs
- Bearish MACD signal
- Decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Attractive valuation metrics (low forward PE, P/B < 1)
- Strong dividend yield
- Support level providing downside cushion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained low beta indicating defensive profile
- Long‑term upside to 52‑week high
- Robust market cap and diversified business model
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price192.3
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.4
SupportTRY 179.40
ResistanceTRY 229.10
MA 20TRY 204.99
MA 50TRY 199.27
MA 200TRY 175.80
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Risk Assessment
Beta0.02
Volatility34.06%
Sector RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.