IP:MILInterpump Group S.p.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
€36.40
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Interpump Group trades at €36.4, just above its 20‑day SMA (€35.58) and 50‑day SMA (€35.17) but still below the 200‑day SMA (€40.77), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI sits at 53.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line turned bullish, reinforced by rising volume – a modest technical upside toward the resistance at €37.26.
Fundamentally, the stock appears fairly priced on a relative basis (PE 18.6 vs industry average 30.2) yet the DCF fair value of €28.07 signals a potential overvaluation of roughly 30% at current levels. Strong cash generation (operating cash flow €321.7 M, free cash flow €242.6 M), a low payout ratio (16.9%) and a dividend yield of 0.97% support dividend sustainability. With modest revenue growth (0.6%), solid margins (gross 35%, operating 15.8%) and a low debt‑to‑equity of 31.5%, the company offers a stable earnings base, though high 30‑day volatility (43%) and a beta below 1 suggest moderate market risk.
Fundamentally, the stock appears fairly priced on a relative basis (PE 18.6 vs industry average 30.2) yet the DCF fair value of €28.07 signals a potential overvaluation of roughly 30% at current levels. Strong cash generation (operating cash flow €321.7 M, free cash flow €242.6 M), a low payout ratio (16.9%) and a dividend yield of 0.97% support dividend sustainability. With modest revenue growth (0.6%), solid margins (gross 35%, operating 15.8%) and a low debt‑to‑equity of 31.5%, the company offers a stable earnings base, though high 30‑day volatility (43%) and a beta below 1 suggest moderate market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover with increasing volume
- Price near short‑term resistance at €37.26
- Neutral RSI indicating limited upside momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Attractive PE relative to industry peers
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
- Strong cash flow generation supporting earnings growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified global footprint reducing single‑market exposure
- Stable margins and modest but consistent revenue growth
- Elevated valuation versus DCF fair value suggesting limited upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin10.05%
P/E Ratio18.6
ROE9.99%
ROA5.98%
Debt/Equity31.50
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow€321.7M
Free Cash Flow€242.6M
Industry P/E30.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.6
Support€30.92
Resistance€37.26
MA 20€35.58
MA 50€35.17
MA 200€40.77
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.98
Valuation
Fair Value€28.07
Target Price€45.56
Upside/Downside25.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.97%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility43.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.