ICICIGI:NSEICICIGI FUTURES Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
₹1,889.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ICICI Lombard posted a robust profit‑after‑tax increase of 22.9% in H1 FY26, with Gross Domestic Premium Income rising 3.6% YoY and a three‑year earnings CAGR of 25.4%, underpinning a bullish earnings narrative. Analysts have lifted the target price to ₹2,250, reflecting confidence in the insurer’s growth trajectory despite a forward PE of 28.8× and a modest dividend yield of 0.69%.
Technically, the stock trades at ₹1,889.7, hovering just above the 20‑day SMA (₹1,914) and 50‑day SMA (₹1,898), with RSI at 48 indicating a neutral stance. A bearish MACD divergence, support at ₹1,835.6 and resistance near ₹1,983.1 suggest limited upside in the short run, but rising volume, a low‑beta profile, and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 75.9) provide a cushion for upside potential. Volatility remains elevated (~19% 30‑day) and the max drawdown sits around 13%, pointing to moderate risk as the market prices in continued earnings momentum.
Technically, the stock trades at ₹1,889.7, hovering just above the 20‑day SMA (₹1,914) and 50‑day SMA (₹1,898), with RSI at 48 indicating a neutral stance. A bearish MACD divergence, support at ₹1,835.6 and resistance near ₹1,983.1 suggest limited upside in the short run, but rising volume, a low‑beta profile, and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 75.9) provide a cushion for upside potential. Volatility remains elevated (~19% 30‑day) and the max drawdown sits around 13%, pointing to moderate risk as the market prices in continued earnings momentum.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near immediate support level
- Bearish MACD divergence
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong earnings growth and premium income
- Analyst target price of ₹2,250
- Neutral technical stance with room to rally
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained profit‑after‑tax expansion
- Favorable industry dynamics for insurance
- Low beta and resilient balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Commodity Metrics
Spot Price1889.7
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.8
Support₹1,835.60
Resistance₹1,983.10
MA 20₹1,914.43
MA 50₹1,898.38
MA 200₹1,931.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.15
Volatility18.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.