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ICICIGI:NSEICICIGI FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

₹1,889.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

ICICI Lombard posted a robust profit‑after‑tax increase of 22.9% in H1 FY26, with Gross Domestic Premium Income rising 3.6% YoY and a three‑year earnings CAGR of 25.4%, underpinning a bullish earnings narrative. Analysts have lifted the target price to ₹2,250, reflecting confidence in the insurer’s growth trajectory despite a forward PE of 28.8× and a modest dividend yield of 0.69%.
Technically, the stock trades at ₹1,889.7, hovering just above the 20‑day SMA (₹1,914) and 50‑day SMA (₹1,898), with RSI at 48 indicating a neutral stance. A bearish MACD divergence, support at ₹1,835.6 and resistance near ₹1,983.1 suggest limited upside in the short run, but rising volume, a low‑beta profile, and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 75.9) provide a cushion for upside potential. Volatility remains elevated (~19% 30‑day) and the max drawdown sits around 13%, pointing to moderate risk as the market prices in continued earnings momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near immediate support level
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong earnings growth and premium income
  • Analyst target price of ₹2,250
  • Neutral technical stance with room to rally

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained profit‑after‑tax expansion
  • Favorable industry dynamics for insurance
  • Low beta and resilient balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price1889.7
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelLow
Supply/Demand RegimeBalanced
USD SensitivityLow
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.8
Support₹1,835.60
Resistance₹1,983.10
MA 20₹1,914.43
MA 50₹1,898.38
MA 200₹1,931.53
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.15
Volatility18.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.