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HNVR:NASDAQHanover Bancorp, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time

$21.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hanover Bancorp is trading at $21.61, comfortably below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The stock’s price‑to‑book ratio of 0.79 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $27.06 suggest an upside of roughly 9%, while the current PE of 21.6 sits well above the industry average of 16.8. Fundamentally, the company posted a modest profit margin of 12% and a forward PE of 7.5, but revenue fell 29% YoY and the latest quarter missed earnings expectations by 4%.
Recent material news includes a $35 million subordinated note placement, bolstering capital, and a earnings surprise that underscored revenue pressure. The dividend yield of 1.85% with a 40% payout appears sustainable given strong cash balances and low leverage, offering an income cushion amid a volatile 30‑day price swing of 27%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and recent earnings miss
  • Support level near $20.19 limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to book and DCF fair value
  • Forward earnings growth implied by low forward PE
  • Sustainable dividend yield providing income

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable dividend policy with modest payout
  • Moderate regulatory and sector risk for regional banks
  • Capital raise improving balance‑sheet resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-29.00%
Profit Margin11.90%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE3.77%
ROA0.32%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$13.1M
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.6
Support$20.19
Resistance$23.00
MA 20$21.20
MA 50$21.93
MA 200$22.23
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.8

Valuation

Fair Value$27.06
Target Price$23.50
Upside/Downside8.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility26.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.