HNVR:NASDAQHanover Bancorp, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time
$21.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hanover Bancorp is trading at $21.61, comfortably below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The stock’s price‑to‑book ratio of 0.79 and a DCF‑derived fair value of $27.06 suggest an upside of roughly 9%, while the current PE of 21.6 sits well above the industry average of 16.8. Fundamentally, the company posted a modest profit margin of 12% and a forward PE of 7.5, but revenue fell 29% YoY and the latest quarter missed earnings expectations by 4%.
Recent material news includes a $35 million subordinated note placement, bolstering capital, and a earnings surprise that underscored revenue pressure. The dividend yield of 1.85% with a 40% payout appears sustainable given strong cash balances and low leverage, offering an income cushion amid a volatile 30‑day price swing of 27%.
Recent material news includes a $35 million subordinated note placement, bolstering capital, and a earnings surprise that underscored revenue pressure. The dividend yield of 1.85% with a 40% payout appears sustainable given strong cash balances and low leverage, offering an income cushion amid a volatile 30‑day price swing of 27%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- Decreasing volume and recent earnings miss
- Support level near $20.19 limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to book and DCF fair value
- Forward earnings growth implied by low forward PE
- Sustainable dividend yield providing income
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Stable dividend policy with modest payout
- Moderate regulatory and sector risk for regional banks
- Capital raise improving balance‑sheet resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-29.00%
Profit Margin11.90%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE3.77%
ROA0.32%
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$13.1M
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.6
Support$20.19
Resistance$23.00
MA 20$21.20
MA 50$21.93
MA 200$22.23
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.8
Valuation
Fair Value$27.06
Target Price$23.50
Upside/Downside8.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.79
Volatility26.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.