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HOPE:NASDAQHope Bancorp, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time

$11.88

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hope Bancorp (HOPE) is trading at $11.88, comfortably above its 20‑day ($11.09), 50‑day ($11.58) and 200‑day ($11.04) moving averages, and the MACD shows a bullish crossover (histogram +0.14). The RSI sits at 65, indicating momentum but edging toward overbought territory. Fundamentals reveal a solid 32% revenue growth, a forward PE of 7.6 versus a trailing PE of 24.2, and a dividend yield of 4.71%—though the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising sustainability concerns. Volatility is elevated at ~25.5% over the past 30 days, while beta (0.89) suggests slightly lower market sensitivity.
The recent acquisition of SMBC ManuBank’s commercial banking unit adds a strategic growth catalyst, yet sector‑wide jitters over private‑credit exposure temper optimism. Analysts project a modest upside of ~15% (target median $14) and a DCF fair value of $33.94, implying the stock is fundamentally undervalued but priced for modest near‑term gains. The dividend’s high yield is attractive, but its sustainability is questionable.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup but RSI approaching overbought
  • High dividend yield with unsustainable payout
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and forward earnings expansion
  • Strategic acquisition of SMBC commercial banking unit
  • Undervalued relative to book (P/B 0.67) and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash position versus moderate debt
  • Potential to improve dividend sustainability as earnings grow
  • Stable beta and US‑centric geographic exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth32.00%
Profit Margin13.50%
P/E Ratio24.2
ROE2.79%
ROA0.35%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$164.5M
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI65.3
Support$10.51
Resistance$11.91
MA 20$11.09
MA 50$11.58
MA 200$11.04
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.25

Valuation

Fair Value$33.94
Target Price$13.63
Upside/Downside14.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.71%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.89
Volatility25.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.