HNRG:NASDAQHallador Energy Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time
$15.64
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hallador Energy is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, and the MACD line sits beneath its signal line, signaling a short‑term bearish technical backdrop. The RSI hovers around the low‑40s, indicating modest oversold pressure, while the stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 60% and beta is above one, underscoring heightened price swings. Current price is just above the identified support zone and well under the resistance level, leaving limited upside in the immediate term.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted double‑digit revenue growth, healthy gross and profit margins, and an impressive return on equity that dwarfs many peers. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple trails the industry average, and a discounted cash‑flow model places fair value well above the market price, implying substantial upside potential. The recent $120 million senior secured credit agreement provides liquidity to refinance existing debt, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with target prices near $28, reflecting confidence despite the sector’s regulatory headwinds.
On the fundamentals side, the company posted double‑digit revenue growth, healthy gross and profit margins, and an impressive return on equity that dwarfs many peers. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple trails the industry average, and a discounted cash‑flow model places fair value well above the market price, implying substantial upside potential. The recent $120 million senior secured credit agreement provides liquidity to refinance existing debt, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with target prices near $28, reflecting confidence despite the sector’s regulatory headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support
- Bearish MACD and SMA alignment
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside versus DCF fair value
- Strong earnings growth and high ROE
- Credit facility improving balance‑sheet flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers and industry PE
- Sustained cash‑flow generation from power and coal assets
- Analyst consensus of strong‑buy with high target price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.20%
Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio16.3
ROE31.71%
ROA9.42%
Debt/Equity24.45
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$81.1M
Free Cash Flow$-6879625
Industry P/E23.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.2
Support$15.33
Resistance$20.15
MA 20$16.93
MA 50$18.13
MA 200$18.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index84.64
Valuation
Fair Value$23.38
Target Price$27.88
Upside/Downside78.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.27
Volatility65.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.