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HL:NYSEHecla Mining Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time

$19.35

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hecla Mining (HL) trades at $19.35, well above its DCF fair value of $8.67, indicating a significant overvaluation despite a forward PE of 14.4 that suggests earnings are expected to accelerate. The company posted an impressive 79.5% revenue growth with a gross margin of 55% and operating margin of 49%, while generating $562 M of operating cash flow and a modest 0.08% dividend yield backed by a 3% payout ratio. However, the stock’s volatility is high at 66% over the past 30 days and volume is trending down, adding short‑term price pressure.
On the technical side, the 20‑day SMA ($18.90) sits just below the current price while the 50‑day SMA ($21.59) remains above it, creating a neutral price stance; a bullish MACD histogram (+0.29) and a mid‑range RSI (48) provide limited upside momentum. Recent news highlights a silver price rally, a $500 M debt reduction, and a strategic shift to a pure‑play silver focus, all of which underpin medium‑ to long‑term growth prospects despite the current premium valuation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral technical picture (price between SMA20 and SMA50, modest bullish MACD)
  • Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
  • Price still above support ($16.25) but below resistance ($22.68)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (79.5%) and high operating margins
  • Forward PE compression to 14.4 indicating earnings acceleration
  • Silver price rally and $500 M debt reduction improving cash flow and risk profile

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Pure‑play silver positioning with rising production outlook
  • Robust free cash flow and low dividend payout supporting sustainability
  • Long‑term precious‑metal commodity cycle favoring higher valuations

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth79.50%
Profit Margin22.61%
P/E Ratio39.5
ROE13.89%
ROA10.14%
Debt/Equity11.00
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow$562.6M
Free Cash Flow$157.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.3
Support$16.25
Resistance$22.68
MA 20$18.90
MA 50$21.59
MA 200$14.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.02

Valuation

Fair Value$8.67
Target Price$26.40
Upside/Downside36.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.08%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility66.70%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.