HL:NYSEHecla Mining Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-08 - not real-time
$19.35
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hecla Mining (HL) trades at $19.35, well above its DCF fair value of $8.67, indicating a significant overvaluation despite a forward PE of 14.4 that suggests earnings are expected to accelerate. The company posted an impressive 79.5% revenue growth with a gross margin of 55% and operating margin of 49%, while generating $562 M of operating cash flow and a modest 0.08% dividend yield backed by a 3% payout ratio. However, the stock’s volatility is high at 66% over the past 30 days and volume is trending down, adding short‑term price pressure.
On the technical side, the 20‑day SMA ($18.90) sits just below the current price while the 50‑day SMA ($21.59) remains above it, creating a neutral price stance; a bullish MACD histogram (+0.29) and a mid‑range RSI (48) provide limited upside momentum. Recent news highlights a silver price rally, a $500 M debt reduction, and a strategic shift to a pure‑play silver focus, all of which underpin medium‑ to long‑term growth prospects despite the current premium valuation.
On the technical side, the 20‑day SMA ($18.90) sits just below the current price while the 50‑day SMA ($21.59) remains above it, creating a neutral price stance; a bullish MACD histogram (+0.29) and a mid‑range RSI (48) provide limited upside momentum. Recent news highlights a silver price rally, a $500 M debt reduction, and a strategic shift to a pure‑play silver focus, all of which underpin medium‑ to long‑term growth prospects despite the current premium valuation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical picture (price between SMA20 and SMA50, modest bullish MACD)
- Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
- Price still above support ($16.25) but below resistance ($22.68)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (79.5%) and high operating margins
- Forward PE compression to 14.4 indicating earnings acceleration
- Silver price rally and $500 M debt reduction improving cash flow and risk profile
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Pure‑play silver positioning with rising production outlook
- Robust free cash flow and low dividend payout supporting sustainability
- Long‑term precious‑metal commodity cycle favoring higher valuations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth79.50%
Profit Margin22.61%
P/E Ratio39.5
ROE13.89%
ROA10.14%
Debt/Equity11.00
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow$562.6M
Free Cash Flow$157.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.3
Support$16.25
Resistance$22.68
MA 20$18.90
MA 50$21.59
MA 200$14.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.02
Valuation
Fair Value$8.67
Target Price$26.40
Upside/Downside36.43%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.08%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.90
Volatility66.70%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.