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FSLR:NASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$248.88

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

First Solar (FSLR) posted record Q1 revenue of $1.04 bn, up 23.6% YoY, and expanded margins to a 30.7% profit margin. The stock is trading at a forward P/E of ~10.6, well below the industry average of 39.1, and the current price of $248.88 sits roughly 30% below the DCF‑derived fair value of $377.7, suggesting a sizable upside. Technicals show a bullish MACD (line above signal) and a high RSI of 68.8, indicating momentum but also proximity to overbought conditions, while the price remains below the immediate resistance around $257.
Analyst sentiment is positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and recent upgrades citing the India partnership and strong cash generation, positioning the stock for continued upside if the momentum sustains and regulatory headwinds remain manageable.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but RSI nearing overbought
  • Price approaching near‑term resistance
  • Strong Q1 earnings beat

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 23.6% and expanding margins
  • Current valuation ~30% below DCF fair value
  • Strategic partnership expanding Indian pipeline

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term solar demand and ESG tailwinds
  • Robust free cash flow and low debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑market exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.60%
Profit Margin30.73%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE18.44%
ROA8.45%
Debt/Equity5.94
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E39.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI68.8
Support$187.20
Resistance$257.00
MA 20$218.88
MA 50$204.44
MA 200$225.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value$377.73
Target Price$243.22
Upside/Downside-2.27%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility48.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.