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FSLR:NASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time

$204.45

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

First Solar, Inc. is priced at $204.45 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. With RSI at 41.4 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch $197.81 as support and $251.39 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 12.6 times earnings against the sector's 33.2. Consensus targets land 34.7% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 3.7% on a 32.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 49.7%, a beta of 1.76 and a maximum drawdown of 37.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top Market Events

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Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 230.60
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 12.6 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 230.60

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 12.6 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Analyst targets imply +34.7% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 32.5% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.70%
Profit Margin32.46%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE18.51%
ROA8.62%
Debt/Equity1.88
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.6B
Industry P/E33.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.4
Support$197.81
Resistance$251.39
MA 20$214.83
MA 50$219.06
MA 200$230.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.63

Valuation

Fair Value$202.58
Target Price$275.30
Upside/Downside34.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.76
Volatility49.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.