FSLR:NASDAQFirst Solar, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$248.88
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
First Solar (FSLR) posted record Q1 revenue of $1.04 bn, up 23.6% YoY, and expanded margins to a 30.7% profit margin. The stock is trading at a forward P/E of ~10.6, well below the industry average of 39.1, and the current price of $248.88 sits roughly 30% below the DCF‑derived fair value of $377.7, suggesting a sizable upside. Technicals show a bullish MACD (line above signal) and a high RSI of 68.8, indicating momentum but also proximity to overbought conditions, while the price remains below the immediate resistance around $257.
Analyst sentiment is positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and recent upgrades citing the India partnership and strong cash generation, positioning the stock for continued upside if the momentum sustains and regulatory headwinds remain manageable.
Analyst sentiment is positive, with a consensus “Buy” rating and recent upgrades citing the India partnership and strong cash generation, positioning the stock for continued upside if the momentum sustains and regulatory headwinds remain manageable.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD but RSI nearing overbought
- Price approaching near‑term resistance
- Strong Q1 earnings beat
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 23.6% and expanding margins
- Current valuation ~30% below DCF fair value
- Strategic partnership expanding Indian pipeline
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term solar demand and ESG tailwinds
- Robust free cash flow and low debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑market exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.60%
Profit Margin30.73%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE18.44%
ROA8.45%
Debt/Equity5.94
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.5B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E39.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI68.8
Support$187.20
Resistance$257.00
MA 20$218.88
MA 50$204.44
MA 200$225.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair Value$377.73
Target Price$243.22
Upside/Downside-2.27%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.23
Volatility48.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.