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ETERNAL:NSEETERNAL FUTURES Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

₹215.68

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Eternal Limited is trading at INR 215.68, well below its 20‑day (250.5), 50‑day (269.6) and 200‑day (291.2) simple moving averages, indicating a pronounced bearish bias. The 14‑day RSI of 19.3 signals an oversold condition, while the MACD line sits at –15.7 beneath its signal line (–12.6), reinforcing downside momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend and the price is hovering just above the identified support level of 213, with resistance near 300, suggesting limited upside in the near term. A recent max drawdown of 39% and an astronomically high trailing PE of ~899 point to earnings weakness, yet the Fear‑Greed Index reads 72.68 (Greed), implying market participants may be underestimating downside risk. Overall, the technical picture is bearish, the fundamentals are strained, and the stock’s near‑zero beta reflects minimal correlation with broader market moves, making it a high‑risk play at current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price testing immediate support at 213
  • Oversold RSI but bearish MACD
  • Increasing volume may precede a short‑term bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential bottoming near support
  • Market sentiment skewed toward greed
  • Low beta suggests limited systematic risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental earnings weakness reflected in high PE
  • High inventory and oversupplied regime
  • Macro factors (USD, rates) exert only moderate influence

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price215.68
Futures CurveBackwardation
Inventory LevelHigh
Supply/Demand RegimeOversupplied
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityLow
Geopolitical SensitivityLow

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI19.3
Support₹213.06
Resistance₹300.00
MA 20₹250.50
MA 50₹269.58
MA 200₹291.18
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.68

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.00
Volatility34.86%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.