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EREGL:BISTEregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari Futures Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

TRY 28.40

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action is hovering just above a key support level while the short‑term moving average has crossed above the mid‑term average, suggesting underlying bullish momentum. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI, a bearish MACD histogram and a decreasing volume trend, all of which point to short‑term caution amid elevated volatility. The market sentiment gauge sits in the “greed” zone, indicating that investors are currently optimistic despite the mixed signals.
Valuation appears attractive: the forward earnings multiple is well below one‑digit levels and the price‑to‑book ratio is under one, indicating the stock trades at a discount to its book value. A modest dividend yield adds income appeal, and the beta is near zero, suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves. Fundamentals are supported by a large market capitalisation and a relatively low cost of capital, providing a solid foundation for longer‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD histogram
  • decreasing volume trend
  • price near support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bullish moving‑average crossover
  • attractive forward earnings multiple
  • moderate dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
  • tight supply‑demand dynamics for steel
  • low market‑beta indicating defensive profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Commodity Metrics

Spot Price28.4
Futures CurveFlat
Inventory LevelMedium
Supply/Demand RegimeTight
USD SensitivityMedium
Rates SensitivityMedium
Geopolitical SensitivityMedium

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.9
SupportTRY 27.28
ResistanceTRY 32.72
MA 20TRY 29.90
MA 50TRY 28.22
MA 200TRY 26.98
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.08
Volatility42.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.