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DOUG:NYSEDouglas Elliman Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$1.71

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $1.71, well below its 20‑day ($1.76) and 50‑day ($1.80) simple moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI of 44, indicating limited upside momentum. Volatility is extreme at 71% over the past 30 days and the beta exceeds 2, suggesting the share moves sharply with market swings. The DCF‑derived fair value of $3.34 and a price‑to‑book below 1 (0.90) point to a valuation gap, yet the current PE of 34.2 versus an industry average of 32.4 and a recent quarterly loss of $0.14 per share highlight earnings weakness.
Revenue has contracted 15% YoY, operating cash flow is negative and the company posted an adjusted loss, underscoring short‑term pressure. However, net debt is modest, free cash flow remains positive, and the brand’s luxury brokerage position could support a longer‑term recovery if the property‑management segment is revived.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
  • Recent earnings miss and revenue decline
  • High volatility and beta amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates upside potential
  • Low price‑to‑book ratio suggests value floor
  • Uncertainty around earnings recovery and cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value
  • Strong brand in luxury real estate brokerage
  • Potential re‑entry into property‑management could boost revenue

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-15.40%
Profit Margin0.50%
P/E Ratio34.2
ROE2.65%
ROA-3.01%
Debt/Equity60.57
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-27603000
Free Cash Flow$23.6M
Industry P/E32.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.7
Support$1.55
Resistance$2.09
MA 20$1.76
MA 50$1.80
MA 200$2.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98

Valuation

Fair Value$3.34
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta2.04
Volatility71.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.