DOUG:NYSEDouglas Elliman Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time
$1.71
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $1.71, well below its 20‑day ($1.76) and 50‑day ($1.80) simple moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI of 44, indicating limited upside momentum. Volatility is extreme at 71% over the past 30 days and the beta exceeds 2, suggesting the share moves sharply with market swings. The DCF‑derived fair value of $3.34 and a price‑to‑book below 1 (0.90) point to a valuation gap, yet the current PE of 34.2 versus an industry average of 32.4 and a recent quarterly loss of $0.14 per share highlight earnings weakness.
Revenue has contracted 15% YoY, operating cash flow is negative and the company posted an adjusted loss, underscoring short‑term pressure. However, net debt is modest, free cash flow remains positive, and the brand’s luxury brokerage position could support a longer‑term recovery if the property‑management segment is revived.
Revenue has contracted 15% YoY, operating cash flow is negative and the company posted an adjusted loss, underscoring short‑term pressure. However, net debt is modest, free cash flow remains positive, and the brand’s luxury brokerage position could support a longer‑term recovery if the property‑management segment is revived.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
- Recent earnings miss and revenue decline
- High volatility and beta amplifying downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates upside potential
- Low price‑to‑book ratio suggests value floor
- Uncertainty around earnings recovery and cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to intrinsic fair value
- Strong brand in luxury real estate brokerage
- Potential re‑entry into property‑management could boost revenue
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-15.40%
Profit Margin0.50%
P/E Ratio34.2
ROE2.65%
ROA-3.01%
Debt/Equity60.57
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-27603000
Free Cash Flow$23.6M
Industry P/E32.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.7
Support$1.55
Resistance$2.09
MA 20$1.76
MA 50$1.80
MA 200$2.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98
Valuation
Fair Value$3.34
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta2.04
Volatility71.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.