DORM:NASDAQDorman Products, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$127.86
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Dorman Products is trading above its short‑term moving averages while sitting just below its long‑term average, indicating that momentum remains intact. The RSI is comfortably in the upper‑mid range and the MACD line sits above its signal with a positive histogram, reinforcing a bullish technical backdrop. Volume is on the rise, support sits well below the current price and the next resistance level is within reach, while the beta below one points to slightly lower market volatility.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and healthy margins, with a forward earnings multiple that is markedly lower than the trailing multiple, suggesting earnings are expected to accelerate. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target that implies a healthy upside, and the market sentiment index is in the extreme greed zone. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load relative to equity and the recent earnings call highlighted a dip in operating margin due to tariff pressures, which adds a layer of near‑term caution.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and healthy margins, with a forward earnings multiple that is markedly lower than the trailing multiple, suggesting earnings are expected to accelerate. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target that implies a healthy upside, and the market sentiment index is in the extreme greed zone. However, the balance sheet carries a sizable debt load relative to equity and the recent earnings call highlighted a dip in operating margin due to tariff pressures, which adds a layer of near‑term caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and RSI indicating strong near‑term momentum
- Price positioned above short‑term SMAs with increasing volume
- Support level comfortably below current price providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings multiple suggests accelerating profitability
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy and median target price offering clear upside
- Solid revenue growth and margin profile despite recent dip
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical nature of the auto‑aftermarket sector
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio adds balance‑sheet risk
- Sustainable cash flow generation supports long‑term stability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin8.84%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE13.57%
ROA8.56%
Debt/Equity37.38
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$106.2M
Free Cash Flow$6.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI62.2
Support$111.13
Resistance$132.15
MA 20$122.92
MA 50$116.35
MA 200$128.23
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$152.25
Upside/Downside19.08%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.91
Volatility36.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.