DCGO:NASDAQDocGo Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$0.58
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
DocGo Inc. (DCGO) is trading at a deep discount of $0.575, barely above its calculated support of $0.56 and well below the 20‑day SMA of $0.665, the 50‑day SMA of $0.732, and the 200‑day SMA of $1.15, underscoring a pronounced bearish trend. Technical momentum is weak, with a RSI of 35.7 indicating oversold conditions, a bearish MACD (line below signal) and a negative histogram, while the volume trend is increasing and volatility is extreme at 85.7% over 30 days. Fundamental metrics are equally troubling: revenue fell 38% year‑over‑year, gross margin sits at just 30.7%, operating margin is –43.3%, and the company posted a net loss with a trailing EPS of –1.84, though forward EPS is projected positive at 0.175. The balance sheet shows modest cash of $51M against $29M debt, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 23, and return metrics (ROE –89%) are negative. Despite these challenges, the DCF model values the stock at $7.84, implying a staggering 265% upside, and management has guided 2026 revenue of $280‑$300M, suggesting potential upside if the turnaround succeeds. The market sentiment is currently in a “Greed” phase (Fear & Greed Index 65.98), but the combination of high beta (1.19), massive historical drawdown (‑78.6%), and sector‑specific regulatory exposure keeps risk elevated.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support and below all moving averages
- Bearish MACD and low RSI indicating continued downside pressure
- High short‑term volatility and recent max drawdown
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Management guidance of $280‑$300M revenue for 2026
- DCF implied fair value far above current price
- Improving cash flow and modest debt level
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Substantial upside potential (>250%) if turnaround materializes
- Industry undervaluation relative to PE and PB benchmarks
- Strategic positioning in mobile health and transportation services with long‑term demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-38.00%
Profit Margin-56.61%
P/E Ratio3.3
ROE-89.05%
ROA-16.57%
Debt/Equity23.18
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$34.5M
Free Cash Flow$56.6M
Industry P/E25.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.7
Support$0.56
Resistance$0.89
MA 20$0.66
MA 50$0.73
MA 200$1.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Fair Value$7.84
Target Price$2.10
Upside/Downside265.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.19
Volatility85.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.