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DCGO:NASDAQDocGo Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$0.58

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

DocGo Inc. (DCGO) is trading at a deep discount of $0.575, barely above its calculated support of $0.56 and well below the 20‑day SMA of $0.665, the 50‑day SMA of $0.732, and the 200‑day SMA of $1.15, underscoring a pronounced bearish trend. Technical momentum is weak, with a RSI of 35.7 indicating oversold conditions, a bearish MACD (line below signal) and a negative histogram, while the volume trend is increasing and volatility is extreme at 85.7% over 30 days. Fundamental metrics are equally troubling: revenue fell 38% year‑over‑year, gross margin sits at just 30.7%, operating margin is –43.3%, and the company posted a net loss with a trailing EPS of –1.84, though forward EPS is projected positive at 0.175. The balance sheet shows modest cash of $51M against $29M debt, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 23, and return metrics (ROE –89%) are negative. Despite these challenges, the DCF model values the stock at $7.84, implying a staggering 265% upside, and management has guided 2026 revenue of $280‑$300M, suggesting potential upside if the turnaround succeeds. The market sentiment is currently in a “Greed” phase (Fear & Greed Index 65.98), but the combination of high beta (1.19), massive historical drawdown (‑78.6%), and sector‑specific regulatory exposure keeps risk elevated.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support and below all moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI indicating continued downside pressure
  • High short‑term volatility and recent max drawdown

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Management guidance of $280‑$300M revenue for 2026
  • DCF implied fair value far above current price
  • Improving cash flow and modest debt level

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial upside potential (>250%) if turnaround materializes
  • Industry undervaluation relative to PE and PB benchmarks
  • Strategic positioning in mobile health and transportation services with long‑term demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-38.00%
Profit Margin-56.61%
P/E Ratio3.3
ROE-89.05%
ROA-16.57%
Debt/Equity23.18
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$34.5M
Free Cash Flow$56.6M
Industry P/E25.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.7
Support$0.56
Resistance$0.89
MA 20$0.66
MA 50$0.73
MA 200$1.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$7.84
Target Price$2.10
Upside/Downside265.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility85.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.