DCBO:NASDAQDocebo Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$16.64
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Docebo’s stock is trading at $16.64, well below its 20‑day SMA of $19.04 and 50‑day SMA of $18.72, indicating short‑term weakness, while the RSI of 37 suggests the shares are approaching oversold territory. Fundamentally, the company posts a healthy 10.5% revenue growth rate, an impressive 80% gross margin, and a 56.9% ROE, outpacing many peers. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $8.20, however, points to a valuation gap, even as the forward PE of 8.6 signals relative cheapness versus the industry PE average of 32.
Recent material news highlights the completion of a substantial issuer bid and the integration of the 365Talents platform, underscoring management’s confidence and a push to broaden the AI‑driven learning suite. The balance sheet is strong, with $74.0 M cash, minimal debt, and positive operating cash flow, supporting continued investment in product development.
Given the mixed technical signals, solid growth fundamentals, and a valuation that appears both attractive on a relative basis and stretched on an absolute DCF basis, the stock warrants a nuanced stance: cautious short‑term positioning with a bias toward buying on medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Recent material news highlights the completion of a substantial issuer bid and the integration of the 365Talents platform, underscoring management’s confidence and a push to broaden the AI‑driven learning suite. The balance sheet is strong, with $74.0 M cash, minimal debt, and positive operating cash flow, supporting continued investment in product development.
Given the mixed technical signals, solid growth fundamentals, and a valuation that appears both attractive on a relative basis and stretched on an absolute DCF basis, the stock warrants a nuanced stance: cautious short‑term positioning with a bias toward buying on medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high gross margins
- Low forward PE relative to industry
- Strategic acquisitions (365Talents) expanding product addressable market
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Robust ROE and cash generation
- Scalable SaaS model with AI enhancements
- Management’s confidence demonstrated by the issuer bid and continued R&D investment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin15.46%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE56.90%
ROA9.33%
Debt/Equity3.46
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash Flow$28.2M
Free Cash Flow$6.8M
Industry P/E32.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.3
Support$16.50
Resistance$22.57
MA 20$19.04
MA 50$18.72
MA 200$24.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Fair Value$8.19
Target Price$29.36
Upside/Downside76.46%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.06
Volatility92.43%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.