We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

DCBO:NASDAQDocebo Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$16.64

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Docebo’s stock is trading at $16.64, well below its 20‑day SMA of $19.04 and 50‑day SMA of $18.72, indicating short‑term weakness, while the RSI of 37 suggests the shares are approaching oversold territory. Fundamentally, the company posts a healthy 10.5% revenue growth rate, an impressive 80% gross margin, and a 56.9% ROE, outpacing many peers. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $8.20, however, points to a valuation gap, even as the forward PE of 8.6 signals relative cheapness versus the industry PE average of 32.
Recent material news highlights the completion of a substantial issuer bid and the integration of the 365Talents platform, underscoring management’s confidence and a push to broaden the AI‑driven learning suite. The balance sheet is strong, with $74.0 M cash, minimal debt, and positive operating cash flow, supporting continued investment in product development.
Given the mixed technical signals, solid growth fundamentals, and a valuation that appears both attractive on a relative basis and stretched on an absolute DCF basis, the stock warrants a nuanced stance: cautious short‑term positioning with a bias toward buying on medium‑ to long‑term horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high gross margins
  • Low forward PE relative to industry
  • Strategic acquisitions (365Talents) expanding product addressable market

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust ROE and cash generation
  • Scalable SaaS model with AI enhancements
  • Management’s confidence demonstrated by the issuer bid and continued R&D investment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.50%
Profit Margin15.46%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE56.90%
ROA9.33%
Debt/Equity3.46
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash Flow$28.2M
Free Cash Flow$6.8M
Industry P/E32.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.3
Support$16.50
Resistance$22.57
MA 20$19.04
MA 50$18.72
MA 200$24.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$8.19
Target Price$29.36
Upside/Downside76.46%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility92.43%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.