DBK:XETR
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
€26.55
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Deutsche Bank is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with the price hovering near a strong support at roughly €25.9. Valuation metrics such as a trailing P/E near 8x versus an industry average of over 17x and a price‑to‑book under 0.7 suggest the stock is materially undervalued, offering an estimated upside of more than 25% to analyst targets. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits in the oversold region (~29), hinting at potential short‑term bounce, while the MACD remains bearish, tempering expectations of a rapid rally. The recent announcement of a dividend increase to €1.00 further bolsters the income appeal, with a payout ratio around 21% indicating sustainability.
Given the increasing volume trend and a moderate beta below 1, downside volatility appears contained, but the bank’s exposure to European economic cycles and regulatory scrutiny adds a layer of medium‑term uncertainty. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and dividend yield against the neutral technical outlook and sector‑specific risks when positioning for the next few months.
Given the increasing volume trend and a moderate beta below 1, downside volatility appears contained, but the bank’s exposure to European economic cycles and regulatory scrutiny adds a layer of medium‑term uncertainty. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation and dividend yield against the neutral technical outlook and sector‑specific risks when positioning for the next few months.
Trading Recommendations
Short Term
< 1 yearhold
Conviction: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near strong support level
- Oversold RSI indicating possible bounce
- Bearish MACD histogram limiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsbuy
Conviction: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to peers
- Increasing dividend and sustainable payout
- Analyst price targets implying >25% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsbuy
Conviction: 8/10
Key Factors
- Stable earnings growth and improving revenue trajectory
- Robust balance sheet with ample cash relative to debt
- Continued dividend growth supporting total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.70%
Profit Margin22.81%
P/E Ratio8.3
ROE8.94%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio0.6
Industry P/E17.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI29.2
Support€25.86
Resistance€32.09
MA 20€29.79
MA 50€31.70
MA 200€29.66
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89
Valuation
Target Price€33.65
Upside/Downside26.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.72
Volatility37.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.