9983:TSE

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD.

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥64,140.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fast Retailing trades at ¥64,140, sitting below its 20‑day SMA (¥66,795) but above the 50‑day SMA (¥62,738), indicating short‑term weakness within an overall bullish trend. RSI at 47 and a bearish MACD histogram (‑696) suggest momentum is softening, while volume is decreasing, and the stock sits near its technical support of ¥61,750 with resistance at ¥69,950.
Fundamentally, the company delivers 14.8% revenue growth, 20% operating margin and 20% ROE, with ample cash (¥1.98 trn) versus debt (¥690 bn) and a sustainable dividend payout of 35% (0.85% yield). However, a DCF fair value of ~¥45,700 and high valuation multiples (PE 45×, PB 7.9×) point to an overvalued price, leaving only ~2% upside versus the median target of ¥65,500. The “Extreme Greed” sentiment and low beta (0.28) temper risk.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with decreasing volume
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating weakening momentum
  • Neutral RSI suggesting no immediate overbought/oversold condition

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (14.8%) and high operating margin
  • Robust cash generation and low leverage
  • Target median price (~¥65,500) offers modest upside

Long Term

> 3 years
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio
  • Consistently high ROE and brand strength in global apparel market
  • Valuation compression risk due to high PE/PB multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.80%
Profit Margin12.69%
P/E Ratio45.5
ROE20.03%
ROA9.39%
Debt/Equity26.88
P/B Ratio7.9
Op. Cash Flow¥684.7B
Free Cash Flow¥496.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.3
Support¥61,750.00
Resistance¥69,950.00
MA 20¥66,795.00
MA 50¥62,738.00
MA 200¥53,141.35
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value¥45,713.58
Target Price¥65,560.21
Upside/Downside2.21%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility33.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.