GD:NYSE

General Dynamics Corporation

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$361.98

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

General Dynamics is trading at $361.98, comfortably above its 20‑day ($354.21) and 50‑day ($354.67) moving averages, indicating short‑term strength. The bullish MACD histogram (+1.37) and a neutral RSI of 55 reinforce a momentum that is still intact. However, the stock sits just below the identified resistance level of $366.75, suggesting limited upside on the near‑term chart. With a 30‑day volatility of roughly 26% and a low beta of 0.58, price swings are pronounced but the stock is less correlated to broader market moves. Volume has remained stable, and the technical outlook is neutral, implying that any breakout will likely be driven by fundamentals rather than speculative flow. The support at $337.32 provides a downside cushion, keeping the risk of a sharp pullback moderate.
On the fundamentals side, GD posted $52.6 B in revenue with 7.8% YoY growth and a respectable 8.0% profit margin. Return on equity of 17.7% and a forward PE of 20x compare favorably to the industry average PE of 29.5x, signaling relative value. The dividend yield of 1.65% with a payout ratio under 40% underscores a sustainable income stream. While the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value near $212, analyst consensus targets around $395 imply the market is pricing in continued defense spending and contract wins. Recent analyst upgrades—such as Jefferies lifting its target to $385 and UBS to $393—highlight confidence in the company’s pipeline across Gulfstream, Combat Systems, and Technologies. Overall, the blend of solid earnings growth, defensive sector positioning, and attractive dividend makes GD a compelling candidate for investors seeking stable, long‑term exposure.

Trading Recommendations

Short Term

< 1 year
hold
Conviction: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $366.75
  • Bullish MACD but neutral overall trend
  • Stable dividend and cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
buy
Conviction: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst target median $395 indicating ~9% upside
  • Revenue growth of 7.8% and solid ROE
  • Sustained defense spending outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
buy
Conviction: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term government contracts across all segments
  • Dividend sustainability with low payout ratio
  • Defensive industry positioning and modest valuation relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.80%
Profit Margin8.01%
P/E Ratio23.4
ROE17.66%
ROA5.99%
Debt/Equity38.20
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash Flow$5.1B
Free Cash Flow$3.4B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.4
Support$337.32
Resistance$366.75
MA 20$354.21
MA 50$354.67
MA 200$327.88
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$212.07
Target Price$394.53
Upside/Downside8.99%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.58
Volatility25.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies. Not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.