DBD:NYSEDiebold Nixdorf Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$75.01
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) is trading around $75, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 75.59 and the 50‑day SMA of 74.65, while still respecting a clear support zone near $70.33. The MACD histogram is positive (0.10) and the signal line has turned bullish, indicating short‑term upward momentum, and the RSI sits at a neutral 48.9, suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge. Technical indicators align with a bullish trend direction, and the stock’s recent price action remains within a stable volume environment, reducing immediate execution risk.
Fundamentally, DBD delivers 11.7% revenue growth, a forward EPS of $6.72 versus trailing $2.54, and a forward P/E of 11.2, pointing to accelerating earnings. The DCF fair‑value estimate of $163.8 implies roughly 29% upside from current levels, and analysts have issued a strong‑buy consensus. Despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~98%) and a beta above 1, the company’s cash generation (free cash flow ~$302 M) and low dividend payout support a resilient balance sheet, while the “Greed” sentiment on the Fear & Greed Index adds a positive market tone.
Fundamentally, DBD delivers 11.7% revenue growth, a forward EPS of $6.72 versus trailing $2.54, and a forward P/E of 11.2, pointing to accelerating earnings. The DCF fair‑value estimate of $163.8 implies roughly 29% upside from current levels, and analysts have issued a strong‑buy consensus. Despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~98%) and a beta above 1, the company’s cash generation (free cash flow ~$302 M) and low dividend payout support a resilient balance sheet, while the “Greed” sentiment on the Fear & Greed Index adds a positive market tone.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover and positive histogram
- Price holding above 20‑day SMA and support level
- Stable volume trend limiting short‑term execution risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue and EPS growth outpacing industry averages
- DCF‑derived upside of ~29% and strong‑buy analyst consensus
- Forward P/E compression to 11.2 indicating value creation
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for digital banking and retail automation solutions
- Robust free cash flow supporting ongoing investment and debt reduction
- Undervaluation relative to fair‑value and long‑term growth trajectory
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.70%
Profit Margin2.49%
P/E Ratio29.5
ROE9.54%
ROA5.68%
Debt/Equity98.51
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$300.7M
Free Cash Flow$302.0M
Industry P/E32.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.9
Support$70.33
Resistance$81.78
MA 20$75.59
MA 50$74.65
MA 200$64.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Fair Value$163.84
Target Price$96.67
Upside/Downside28.87%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.19
Volatility39.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.