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DBD:NYSEDiebold Nixdorf Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$75.01

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) is trading around $75, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 75.59 and the 50‑day SMA of 74.65, while still respecting a clear support zone near $70.33. The MACD histogram is positive (0.10) and the signal line has turned bullish, indicating short‑term upward momentum, and the RSI sits at a neutral 48.9, suggesting room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge. Technical indicators align with a bullish trend direction, and the stock’s recent price action remains within a stable volume environment, reducing immediate execution risk.
Fundamentally, DBD delivers 11.7% revenue growth, a forward EPS of $6.72 versus trailing $2.54, and a forward P/E of 11.2, pointing to accelerating earnings. The DCF fair‑value estimate of $163.8 implies roughly 29% upside from current levels, and analysts have issued a strong‑buy consensus. Despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~98%) and a beta above 1, the company’s cash generation (free cash flow ~$302 M) and low dividend payout support a resilient balance sheet, while the “Greed” sentiment on the Fear & Greed Index adds a positive market tone.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover and positive histogram
  • Price holding above 20‑day SMA and support level
  • Stable volume trend limiting short‑term execution risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue and EPS growth outpacing industry averages
  • DCF‑derived upside of ~29% and strong‑buy analyst consensus
  • Forward P/E compression to 11.2 indicating value creation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for digital banking and retail automation solutions
  • Robust free cash flow supporting ongoing investment and debt reduction
  • Undervaluation relative to fair‑value and long‑term growth trajectory

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.70%
Profit Margin2.49%
P/E Ratio29.5
ROE9.54%
ROA5.68%
Debt/Equity98.51
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$300.7M
Free Cash Flow$302.0M
Industry P/E32.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.9
Support$70.33
Resistance$81.78
MA 20$75.59
MA 50$74.65
MA 200$64.07
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$163.84
Target Price$96.67
Upside/Downside28.87%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility39.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.