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DAKT:NASDAQDaktronics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time

$19.25

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Daktronics has posted double‑digit revenue growth and an expanding order backlog, positioning the company on a solid top‑line trajectory. The latest quarter showed a flat gross margin but a modest improvement in operating profitability, while cash generation remains healthy. Technical signals are mixed: the stock trades below its short‑term moving average, RSI sits in the oversold region, and MACD remains bearish, with volume trending lower, suggesting short‑term pressure near the identified support level. However, the market price is well below the DCF‑derived fair value, implying a sizable upside potential and a valuation gap that could attract value‑oriented investors.
The sector’s cyclical nature and the company’s exposure to both domestic and international markets add moderate geographic and sector risk, but the absence of dividend commitments and a low regulatory burden keep those risks contained. Overall, the fundamentals point to a growth‑leaning, undervalued stock that may benefit from a rebound in sentiment, while short‑term technical weakness advises caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price near identified support level
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Double‑digit revenue growth YoY
  • Order backlog up significantly
  • Market price well below DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained growth outlook in digital signage market
  • Strong cash generation and low debt load
  • Undervaluation relative to industry peers and fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.60%
Profit Margin3.43%
P/E Ratio35.0
ROE9.73%
ROA7.18%
Debt/Equity3.76
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$77.2M
Free Cash Flow$55.3M
Industry P/E32.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.2
Support$19.00
Resistance$26.73
MA 20$21.42
MA 50$23.34
MA 200$19.57
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98

Valuation

Fair Value$39.10
Target Price$33.00
Upside/Downside71.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.20
Volatility58.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.