CZR:NASDAQCaesars Entertainment, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$25.85
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Caesars Entertainment’s stock is trading just below its 20‑day SMA (26.70) while comfortably above the 50‑day (23.62) and 200‑day (24.67) averages, indicating a modest upward bias but a neutral overall trend. The RSI sits at 51, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is bearish, warning of potential short‑term downside pressure. Volatility is elevated at nearly 79% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1.3, underscoring a high sensitivity to market swings and a heightened risk profile. Fundamentally, the company reports $11.5 B in revenue with 4.2% growth, a solid 50% gross margin and an 18.9% operating margin, but a negative profit margin and a trailing EPS of –2.42 signal current earnings weakness. Forward EPS of 1.03 and a forward P/E of 25.2 imply earnings recovery is expected, while a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.46 and a P/B of 1.49 suggest the stock may be priced attractively relative to peers. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with $25.6 B of debt versus $0.9 B of cash and a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 600%, raising concerns about financial flexibility. Recent market chatter about a potential $7 B buyout by Tilman Fertitta has sparked an 11‑12% price surge, providing a catalyst that could temporarily lift sentiment. The volume trend is decreasing, and the stock sits well below the identified resistance at $30.88, leaving limited upside in the near term. Overall, the mix of modest growth, attractive valuation multiples, but significant leverage and bearish short‑term technical signals suggests a cautious but not dismissive stance. Investors should weigh the speculative upside from acquisition rumors against the structural debt risk and volatile market dynamics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Recent buyout speculation driving price volatility
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Neutral RSI and price below short‑term resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings visibility with positive EPS forecast
- Low price‑to‑sales multiple indicating valuation appeal
- Potential strategic upside from acquisition or partnership
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and debt‑to‑equity ratio limiting financial flexibility
- Regulatory environment and cyclical nature of casino industry
- Strong brand and expanding online gaming platform offering growth potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin-4.37%
P/E Ratio25.2
ROE-10.84%
ROA4.04%
Debt/Equity695.12
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$693.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.4
Support$23.46
Resistance$30.88
MA 20$26.70
MA 50$23.62
MA 200$24.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Target Price$31.96
Upside/Downside23.63%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.40
Volatility78.59%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.