CYD:NYSEChina Yuchai International Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$50.42
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
China Yuchai International is trading well above its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day SMA sitting above the 50‑day SMA and both comfortably under the 200‑day SMA, indicating strong upward momentum. Technical indicators are bullish, as the MACD line sits above its signal line and the RSI is in the high‑range, while volume has been on an upward trend, supporting the price advance.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth and a healthy cash position, with free cash flow comfortably covering its modest dividend. The discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value far above the current market price, pointing to a sizable upside potential. Recent news on the launch of an ammonia‑powered engine highlights a strategic shift toward cleaner technologies, which could enhance long‑term competitive positioning. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, reinforcing the upside narrative.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid top‑line growth and a healthy cash position, with free cash flow comfortably covering its modest dividend. The discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value far above the current market price, pointing to a sizable upside potential. Recent news on the launch of an ammonia‑powered engine highlights a strategic shift toward cleaner technologies, which could enhance long‑term competitive positioning. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, reinforcing the upside narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical momentum but RSI approaching overbought levels
- Increasing trading volume supporting the rally
- Proximity to a near‑term resistance zone
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental undervaluation relative to DCF estimate
- Strong revenue growth and robust cash generation
- Strategic launch of ammonia engine technology expanding future market
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
- Exposure to cyclical automotive sector and regulatory shifts
- Long‑term growth prospects from clean‑energy engine portfolio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.00%
Profit Margin2.18%
P/E Ratio24.0
ROE6.43%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity16.27
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.7B
Free Cash Flow$2.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI69.7
Support$38.50
Resistance$51.82
MA 20$44.60
MA 50$42.51
MA 200$39.60
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Fair Value$2,194.15
Target Price$57.09
Upside/Downside13.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.31
Volatility47.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.