CXT:NYSECrane NXT, Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-28 - not real-time
$41.15
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) is trading at $41.15, well below its 20‑day SMA of 43.92, 50‑day SMA of 48.68 and 200‑day SMA of 55.94, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. However, the MACD line has crossed above its signal line (‑2.174 vs ‑2.239) and the histogram turned positive, suggesting a potential bullish reversal, while the RSI of 31.4 hints at near‑oversold conditions. The stock sits just above its identified support at 40.01 and below a resistance near 49.59, giving it room to test higher levels if momentum holds. Volume remains stable, and the recent options activity noted in the news underscores market attention to possible upside moves.
Fundamentally, CXT delivers strong top‑line growth of 19.5% YoY, solid gross margin (~42%) and operating margin (~18%). The DCF‑derived fair value of $61.56 translates to an implied upside of roughly 77%, while its forward P/E of 8.7 is well below the industry average of 28.1, marking the stock as undervalued. Dividend sustainability looks robust with a modest payout ratio of 27% and a yield of 1.75%. Nevertheless, the company’s beta above 1.2, 30‑day volatility near 30%, and historical max drawdown of ‑41% signal heightened risk that investors must weigh.
Fundamentally, CXT delivers strong top‑line growth of 19.5% YoY, solid gross margin (~42%) and operating margin (~18%). The DCF‑derived fair value of $61.56 translates to an implied upside of roughly 77%, while its forward P/E of 8.7 is well below the industry average of 28.1, marking the stock as undervalued. Dividend sustainability looks robust with a modest payout ratio of 27% and a yield of 1.75%. Nevertheless, the company’s beta above 1.2, 30‑day volatility near 30%, and historical max drawdown of ‑41% signal heightened risk that investors must weigh.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bullish MACD crossover
- RSI approaching oversold territory
- Stable volume but bearish SMA alignment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value implies ~77% upside
- Revenue growth of 19.5% and strong operating margins
- Low payout ratio supports dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to industry P/E and strong cash flow generation
- Consistent dividend with low payout ratio
- Growth profile with expanding security and automation markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth19.50%
Profit Margin8.76%
P/E Ratio16.5
ROE12.50%
ROA6.50%
Debt/Equity96.25
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$241.5M
Free Cash Flow$152.6M
Industry P/E28.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.4
Support$40.01
Resistance$49.59
MA 20$43.92
MA 50$48.68
MA 200$55.94
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index65.98
Valuation
Fair Value$61.56
Target Price$73.00
Upside/Downside77.40%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.75%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.21
Volatility29.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.