CSV:NYSECarriage Services, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time
$40.77
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Carriage Services is trading below its long‑term moving average, with the short‑term average sitting beneath the medium‑term average, signaling short‑term weakness in a broader bearish trend. The RSI sits in the upper half of its range, suggesting momentum remains positive but not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is expanding, indicating a nascent bullish push. Volume has been picking up, providing a healthier backdrop for any price advance toward the identified resistance zone. Fundamentals show solid profitability margins, a healthy free‑cash‑flow profile and a modest dividend payout that appears sustainable given the low payout ratio and steady operating cash generation. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, with a “strong buy” recommendation and a target price well above the current level, implying notable upside potential. However, the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and limited cash reserves, which temper the optimism despite the attractive valuation metrics.
The consumer‑cyclical, personal‑services sector is relatively defensive, and the funeral industry’s regulated nature adds a layer of stability but also potential compliance costs. Low beta and a diversified U.S. footprint reduce market‑wide and geographic risks, yet the stock’s high 30‑day volatility and a historical drawdown approaching thirty percent point to heightened price swings. Overall, the blend of improving valuation, modest growth prospects, and a resilient dividend makes CSV a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑term horizon, while short‑term positioning should remain cautious pending confirmation of the bullish technical signals.
The consumer‑cyclical, personal‑services sector is relatively defensive, and the funeral industry’s regulated nature adds a layer of stability but also potential compliance costs. Low beta and a diversified U.S. footprint reduce market‑wide and geographic risks, yet the stock’s high 30‑day volatility and a historical drawdown approaching thirty percent point to heightened price swings. Overall, the blend of improving valuation, modest growth prospects, and a resilient dividend makes CSV a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑term horizon, while short‑term positioning should remain cautious pending confirmation of the bullish technical signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- MACD histogram turning positive
- Increasing volume supporting a potential bounce
- Price near identified support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus strong buy with upside potential
- Undervalued relative to fair‑value estimates
- Sustainable dividend and solid cash‑flow generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Defensive nature of funeral services providing steady demand
- Low beta indicating limited market volatility exposure
- Potential for earnings improvement through M&A and operational efficiencies
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin10.58%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE17.99%
ROA4.66%
Debt/Equity204.56
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$61.8M
Free Cash Flow$45.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.8
Support$36.39
Resistance$41.73
MA 20$38.53
MA 50$39.47
MA 200$42.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.54
Valuation
Fair Value$2.68
Target Price$60.00
Upside/Downside47.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility33.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.