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CSV:NYSECarriage Services, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-30 - not real-time

$40.77

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Carriage Services is trading below its long‑term moving average, with the short‑term average sitting beneath the medium‑term average, signaling short‑term weakness in a broader bearish trend. The RSI sits in the upper half of its range, suggesting momentum remains positive but not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is expanding, indicating a nascent bullish push. Volume has been picking up, providing a healthier backdrop for any price advance toward the identified resistance zone. Fundamentals show solid profitability margins, a healthy free‑cash‑flow profile and a modest dividend payout that appears sustainable given the low payout ratio and steady operating cash generation. Analyst consensus is strongly positive, with a “strong buy” recommendation and a target price well above the current level, implying notable upside potential. However, the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and limited cash reserves, which temper the optimism despite the attractive valuation metrics.
The consumer‑cyclical, personal‑services sector is relatively defensive, and the funeral industry’s regulated nature adds a layer of stability but also potential compliance costs. Low beta and a diversified U.S. footprint reduce market‑wide and geographic risks, yet the stock’s high 30‑day volatility and a historical drawdown approaching thirty percent point to heightened price swings. Overall, the blend of improving valuation, modest growth prospects, and a resilient dividend makes CSV a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑term horizon, while short‑term positioning should remain cautious pending confirmation of the bullish technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • Increasing volume supporting a potential bounce
  • Price near identified support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus strong buy with upside potential
  • Undervalued relative to fair‑value estimates
  • Sustainable dividend and solid cash‑flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive nature of funeral services providing steady demand
  • Low beta indicating limited market volatility exposure
  • Potential for earnings improvement through M&A and operational efficiencies

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin10.58%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE17.99%
ROA4.66%
Debt/Equity204.56
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$61.8M
Free Cash Flow$45.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI59.8
Support$36.39
Resistance$41.73
MA 20$38.53
MA 50$39.47
MA 200$42.98
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.54

Valuation

Fair Value$2.68
Target Price$60.00
Upside/Downside47.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.10%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility33.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.