CSL:NYSECarlisle Companies Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time
$333.64
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Carlisle Companies (CSL) is trading around $333.64, just above its 20‑day SMA of $353.42 and below the 50‑day SMA of $369.66, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a neutral trend. The RSI of 34.9 points to oversold conditions, while the MACD remains bearish with the line below its signal, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term. The stock’s beta of 0.88 and 30‑day volatility of 28.9% reflect moderate market sensitivity, and the current PE of 19.5 is well below the industry average of 28.5, supporting a value case despite a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $204.
Recent accolades—first‑place rankings in Extel’s 2025 All‑America Executive Team and a resilient 2025 annual report—underscore operational strength, while a forward PE of 14.2 and a dividend yield of 1.29% with a modest 24.5% payout ratio highlight attractive earnings upside and dividend sustainability. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 168% and a sizable max drawdown of 32% flag balance‑sheet and downside risk, making the stock a nuanced play between growth potential and valuation caution.
Recent accolades—first‑place rankings in Extel’s 2025 All‑America Executive Team and a resilient 2025 annual report—underscore operational strength, while a forward PE of 14.2 and a dividend yield of 1.29% with a modest 24.5% payout ratio highlight attractive earnings upside and dividend sustainability. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 168% and a sizable max drawdown of 32% flag balance‑sheet and downside risk, making the stock a nuanced play between growth potential and valuation caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price is near the identified support level of $324
- RSI indicates oversold conditions that could prompt a bounce
- Bearish MACD histogram suggests limited upside momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings estimate lifts the forward PE to 14.2, well below peers
- Cyclical construction recovery expected to boost revenue growth
- Strong cash generation and a sustainable dividend support total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High ROE of 34.9% signals durable profitability
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio and a DCF fair value far below market price
- Consistent dividend and strategic positioning in building‑products markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.40%
Profit Margin14.75%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE34.87%
ROA10.38%
Debt/Equity168.32
P/B Ratio7.6
Op. Cash Flow$1.1B
Free Cash Flow$749.6M
Industry P/E28.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.9
Support$324.47
Resistance$396.24
MA 20$353.42
MA 50$369.66
MA 200$357.43
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index71.93
Valuation
Fair Value$204.49
Target Price$396.63
Upside/Downside18.88%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.88
Volatility28.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.