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CSTM:NYSEConstellium SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time

$23.95

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Constellium’s stock is trading above its longer‑term moving averages, reinforcing a bullish bias, yet the MACD histogram remains in negative territory and volume has been tapering, suggesting short‑term weakness near the identified support zone. The RSI sits around the midpoint, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the market sentiment indexes are in a greed phase, adding speculative pressure.
Fundamentally, the company is delivering robust top‑line growth and an impressive return on equity, supported by a strong analyst consensus and a new $300 million share repurchase program that could bolster price stability. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, debt levels dwarf cash reserves, and the discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well below the current market price, flagging an overvaluation concern despite the upside potential highlighted by analyst price targets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • Proximity to technical support
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high ROE
  • Analyst price targets indicating upside
  • New share repurchase program supporting demand

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage relative to cash
  • Cyclical exposure of the aluminum sector
  • Sustained earnings growth potential

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.90%
Profit Margin3.23%
P/E Ratio12.5
ROE32.39%
ROA5.96%
Debt/Equity212.46
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash Flow$489.0M
Free Cash Flow$96.8M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.0
Support$22.03
Resistance$27.41
MA 20$24.94
MA 50$24.32
MA 200$17.73
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.05

Valuation

Fair Value$11.83
Target Price$28.48
Upside/Downside18.93%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.70
Volatility59.19%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.