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CSBR:NASDAQChampions Oncology, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$6.88

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Champions Oncology (CSBR) is trading at $6.88, comfortably above its 20‑day ($5.98) and 50‑day ($5.98) simple moving averages, yet still higher than the 200‑day SMA ($6.39), indicating short‑term price strength but a longer‑term trend that remains bearish. The RSI of 70.9 signals an overbought condition, while the MACD line sits above its signal (bullish), creating mixed technical cues. Volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility is elevated at 49%, suggesting price swings may intensify on limited liquidity. Fundamentally, the company reports a negative operating margin (-1.1%) and a loss per share (-$0.18), with a forward PE of 68.8x versus an industry average of 24.7x, highlighting substantial overvaluation. The discounted cash flow model places fair value at roughly $4.62, well below the current market price, and the price‑to‑book ratio of 22.3x further underscores this gap. Cash balances (~$7.1M) exceed debt (~$5.0M), providing a modest cushion, yet free cash flow remains modest relative to the company's scale. Revenue has contracted by 2.8%, and key profitability metrics (ROE, ROA) are deeply negative, painting a fragile earnings outlook. The stock’s beta of 0.59 indicates lower systematic risk, but the high volatility and thin trading volume amplify idiosyncratic risk. Overall, the combination of overbought technical signals, steep valuation multiples, and weak fundamentals suggests limited upside without a clear catalyst.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Current price far above DCF fair value
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Positive free cash flow provides runway
  • Potential partnership or product milestone could shift sentiment
  • Still burdened by negative margins and high valuation

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental earnings weakness and revenue decline
  • Biotech sector regulatory uncertainty
  • Valuation gap unlikely to close without significant operational turnaround

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.80%
Profit Margin-4.04%
P/E Ratio68.8
ROE-47.59%
ROA-4.70%
Debt/Equity114.19
P/B Ratio22.3
Op. Cash Flow$4.4M
Free Cash Flow$4.7M
Industry P/E24.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI70.9
Support$5.60
Resistance$7.00
MA 20$5.98
MA 50$5.98
MA 200$6.39
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Valuation

Fair Value$4.62
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.59
Volatility49.33%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.