GMAB:OMXCOP

Genmab A/S

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$27.96

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Genmab A/S trades around $27.96, notably above its DCF‑derived fair value of $21.45, suggesting the stock is currently overvalued despite a trailing P/E of 18, which sits below the biotechnology industry average of 25. Technical indicators show a neutral trend with the 20‑day SMA (28.98) just above price, a bearish MACD histogram, and an RSI of 38 indicating modest downside pressure. The latest earnings call revealed a miss on EPS expectations (reported $0.4035 vs. $0.46 forecast) while revenue grew 19% to $3.7 bn, underscoring strong top‑line momentum but short‑term earnings volatility. Fundamentally, the company boasts an exceptional gross margin of 94% and operating margin of 23%, a solid ROE of 17.5%, and a robust cash position exceeding $1.7 bn, though a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈93) raises leverage concerns.
The pipeline remains a key catalyst, with multiple antibody‑based candidates across oncology and solid‑tumor indications and strategic collaborations with AbbVie, Pfizer, and Johnson & Johnson bolstering future revenue streams. Sector‑specific risks are elevated given the biotech regulatory environment, while the stock’s beta of 0.57 and stable volume mitigate broader market volatility. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: overvalued on price relative to intrinsic estimates, yet supported by strong margins, cash generation, and a compelling product pipeline.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading above DCF fair value
  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 40
  • Recent EPS miss versus expectations

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high margins
  • Robust cash position offset by high leverage
  • Continued pipeline advancements and collaborations

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Expanding oncology pipeline with multiple late‑stage candidates
  • Strategic partnerships with major pharma players
  • Sustainable cash generation and potential for market share gains

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.00%
Profit Margin25.89%
P/E Ratio18.2
ROE17.54%
ROA8.10%
Debt/Equity92.80
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E25.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.4
Support$26.55
Resistance$31.41
MA 20$28.98
MA 50$31.29
MA 200$27.76
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.91

Valuation

Fair Value$21.45
Target Price$37.65
Upside/Downside34.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.57
Volatility34.34%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.