CSBR:NASDAQChampions Oncology, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-27 - not real-time
$5.79
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Champions Oncology is trading at $5.79, which sits below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 44 suggests modest momentum, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, offering a faint bullish hint. However, the stock exhibits a 48% 30‑day volatility and a low beta of 0.66, indicating price swings that are not closely tied to the broader market. The discounted cash‑flow model pins a fair value near $4.71, well under the current price, yet the forward PE of 57.9 and a price‑to‑book of 18.8 imply the market is pricing in strong growth expectations that may be stretched.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 2.8% YoY revenue decline to $57.9M, negative operating margins, and a trailing EPS of –$0.18, while carrying $5.0M of debt against $7.1M of cash, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Recent news highlights a mixed Q3 performance—record core study revenue but a 3% revenue dip—while management remains optimistic about achieving year‑over‑year revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA. The combination of cash‑burn, regulatory exposure, and limited liquidity underscores a cautious outlook.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 2.8% YoY revenue decline to $57.9M, negative operating margins, and a trailing EPS of –$0.18, while carrying $5.0M of debt against $7.1M of cash, yielding a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Recent news highlights a mixed Q3 performance—record core study revenue but a 3% revenue dip—while management remains optimistic about achieving year‑over‑year revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA. The combination of cash‑burn, regulatory exposure, and limited liquidity underscores a cautious outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Elevated short‑term volatility
- Upcoming earnings guidance may clarify trajectory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Management guidance toward revenue growth and positive adjusted EBITDA
- High valuation multiples relative to industry peers
- Improving core study revenue despite overall decline
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained cash burn and high debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Overvaluation given negative earnings and margins
- Biotech sector’s regulatory and execution risks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.80%
Profit Margin-4.04%
P/E Ratio57.9
ROE-47.59%
ROA-4.70%
Debt/Equity114.19
P/B Ratio18.8
Op. Cash Flow$4.4M
Free Cash Flow$4.7M
Industry P/E25.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI43.9
Support$5.50
Resistance$6.34
MA 20$5.95
MA 50$6.34
MA 200$6.77
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.16
Valuation
Fair Value$4.71
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.66
Volatility48.14%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.